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प्रकाशन

2023-24 की दूसरी तिमाही (Q2) के लिए विनिर्माण क्षेत्र का औद्योगिक परिदृश्य सर्वेक्षण

भारतीय रिज़र्व बैंक ने आज त्रैमासिक औद्योगिक परिदृश्य सर्वेक्षण (आइओएस) के 103वें दौर के परिणाम जारी किये। इस सर्वेक्षण में 2023-24 की दूसरी तिमाही के लिए भारतीय विनिर्माण कंपनियों द्वारा कारोबार के परिवेश का गुणात्मक मूल्यांकन और 2023-241 की तीसरी तिमाही के लिए उक्त कंपनियों की अपेक्षाओं के साथ-साथ आगामी दो तिमाहियों के लिए चयनित मापदंडों पर उनके आउटलुक को समाहित किया गया है। 2023-24 की दूसरी तिमाही के दौरान सर्वेक्षण के इस दौर में कुल 1,223 कंपनियों ने प्रत्युत्तर दिए।

विशेष:

क. दूसरी तिमाही (Q2) 2023-24 का मूल्यांकन

  • विनिर्माण कंपनियाँ 2023-24 की दूसरी तिमाही के दौरान मांग की स्थिति पर अधिक आशावादी रहीं, जैसा कि उत्पादन, ऑर्डर बुक और क्षमता उपयोग पर उनके मूल्यांकन में परिलक्षित होता है (सारणी-ए)।

  • उत्तरदाताओं ने कच्चे माल की लागत में अधिक दबाव की सूचना दी; वेतन बिल और वित्त लागत का बोझ कुछ कम हुआ।

  • चार तिमाहियों के नकारात्मक मूल्यांकन के बाद 2023-24 की दूसरी तिमाही के दौरान लाभ मार्जिन पर सकल धारणा सकारात्मक हो गई।

  • विनिर्माण क्षेत्र में समग्र व्यावसायिक भावनाओं में और सुधार हुआ; व्यापार मूल्यांकन सूचकांक2 (बीएआई) पिछली तिमाही के 112.2 से बढ़कर 2023-24 की दूसरी तिमाही में 115.0 हो गया (चार्ट-1)।

ख. तीसरी तिमाही (Q3) 2023-24 के लिए अपेक्षाएं

  • निर्माताओं ने 2023-24 की तीसरी तिमाही के लिए अधिक आशावाद व्यक्त किया, जैसा कि उत्पादन, ऑर्डर बुक, क्षमता उपयोग और समग्र व्यावसायिक स्थिति पर उनकी बेहतर अपेक्षाओं में परिलक्षित होता है (सारणी-ए)।

  • कच्चे माल और वित्तपोषण से लागत पर दबाव बने रहने की संभावना है।

  • बिक्री मूल्य कम दर पर बढ़ने की उम्मीद है और लाभ मार्जिन स्थिर रहने की संभावना है।

  • व्यापक-आधारित आशावाद को दर्शाते हुए, 2023-24 की तीसरी तिमाही के लिए व्यापार अपेक्षा सूचकांक (बीईआई) पिछली तिमाही के 132.5 से सुधरकर 135.4 हो गया (चार्ट-1)।

Chart 1: Business Sentiments

ग. 2023-24 की चौथी और 2024-25 की पहली तिमाही के लिए अपेक्षाएं

  • निर्माता 2024-25 की पहली तिमाही तक उत्पादन, ऑर्डर बुक, क्षमता उपयोग और समग्र व्यावसायिक स्थिति को लेकर अत्यधिक आशावादी बने हुए हैं (सारणी बी)।

  • निर्माताओं पर लागत का दबाव बने रहने की संभावना है, लेकिन वे यह भी उम्मीद करते हैं कि मूल्य निर्धारण शक्ति बिक्री कीमतों में वृद्धि को प्रभावित करेगी।

Table A: Summary of Net responses3 on Survey Parameters
(per cent)
Parameters Assessment period Expectation period
Q1:2023-24 Q2:2023-24 Q2:2023-24 Q3:2023-24
Production 25.3 34.0 58.0 65.1
Order Books 21.9 30.7 58.1 62.3
Pending Orders 4.9 3.1 -1.7 -1.1
Capacity Utilisation 15.5 29.5 46.6 57.5
Inventory of Raw Materials -6.3 -6.1 -29.0 -27.3
Inventory of Finished Goods -7.2 -7.2 -28.8 -28.2
Exports 17.6 17.7 53.5 53.1
Imports 20.4 17.2 52.6 51.0
Employment 16.1 18.0 40.5 38.8
Financial Situation (Overall) 24.0 30.9 56.3 63.5
Availability of Finance (from internal accruals) 25.8 30.8 52.3 59.1
Availability of Finance (from banks & other sources) 20.4 29.1 49.0 55.8
Availability of Finance (from overseas, if applicable) 18.0 18.6 50.4 53.5
Cost of Finance -32.4 -26.4 -54.2 -54.9
Cost of Raw Material -41.1 -43.8 -58.3 -65.0
Salary/ Other Remuneration -38.1 -28.8 -49.3 -45.6
Selling Price 12.8 11.7 41.4 40.1
Profit Margin -1.2 4.5 35.7 35.8
Overall Business Situation 24.9 34.3 60.7 67.9

Table B: Business Expectations on Select Parameters for extended period – Net response
(per cent)
Parameters Round 102 Round 103
Q2:2023-24 Q3:2023-24 Q4:2023-24 Q1:2024:25
Overall Business Situation 60.7 67.9 67.5 69.9
Production 58.0 65.1 68.2 68.3
Order Books 58.1 62.3 66.0 67.3
Capacity Utilisation 46.6 57.5 65.3 65.0
Employment 40.5 38.8 47.2 45.5
Cost of Raw Materials -58.3 -65.0 -63.0 -63.2
Selling Prices 41.4 40.1 48.6 46.6

Note: Please see the excel file for time series data.

Table 1: Assessment and Expectations for Production
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 34.3 16.3 49.4 18.1 72.4 5.0 22.6 67.4
Q3:2022-23 1,356 40.5 15.4 44.1 25.1 60.8 4.6 34.5 56.2
Q4:2022-23 1,066 46.3 13.3 40.4 33.0 61.2 3.8 34.9 57.4
Q1:2023-24 1,247 39.6 14.3 46.0 25.3 60.6 5.8 33.6 54.8
Q2:2023-24 1,223 45.2 11.2 43.6 34.0 63.0 5.0 31.9 58.0
Q3:2023-24           70.9 5.7 23.4 65.1
‘Increase’ in production is optimistic.
Note: The sum of components may not add up to total due to rounding off (This is applicable for all tables).

Table 2: Assessment and Expectations for Order Books
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 30.7 12.1 57.2 18.6 72.7 4.6 22.6 68.1
Q3:2022-23 1,356 33.1 12.1 54.8 21.0 67.1 4.7 28.3 62.4
Q4:2022-23 1,066 37.2 11.8 51.0 25.4 63.3 3.9 32.8 59.4
Q1:2023-24 1,247 33.0 11.1 55.9 21.9 54.6 6.8 38.6 47.8
Q2:2023-24 1,223 41.1 10.4 48.5 30.7 63.0 4.8 32.2 58.1
Q3:2023-24           68.5 6.1 25.4 62.3
‘Increase’ in order books is optimistic.

Table 3: Assessment and Expectations for Pending Orders
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Above Normal Below Normal Normal Net response Above Normal Below Normal Normal Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 10.3 17.6 72.0 7.3 7.7 10.3 82.1 2.6
Q3:2022-23 1,356 8.4 14.6 76.9 6.2 10.8 10.1 79.2 -0.7
Q4:2022-23 1,066 4.2 13.1 82.7 8.9 8.9 10.1 81.0 1.2
Q1:2023-24 1,247 9.2 14.1 76.6 4.9 4.5 8.0 87.5 3.4
Q2:2023-24 1,223 8.6 11.6 79.8 3.1 10.9 9.2 79.9 -1.7
Q3:2023-24           9.7 8.5 81.8 -1.1
Pending orders ‘Below Normal’ is optimistic.

Table 4: Assessment and Expectations for Capacity Utilisation (Main Product)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 23.4 14.8 61.8 8.6 65.6 5.0 29.4 60.6
Q3:2022-23 1,356 29.8 15.0 55.2 14.9 51.5 4.9 43.6 46.6
Q4:2022-23 1,066 34.3 11.5 54.1 22.8 51.3 4.1 44.6 47.2
Q1:2023-24 1,247 28.5 13.0 58.5 15.5 46.7 5.5 47.8 41.2
Q2:2023-24 1,223 38.2 8.7 53.0 29.5 51.8 5.2 42.9 46.6
Q3:2023-24           62.1 4.6 33.3 57.5
‘Increase’ in capacity utilisation is optimistic.

Table 5: Assessment and Expectations for Level of CU (compared to the average in last 4 quarters)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Above Normal Below Normal Normal Net response Above Normal Below Normal Normal Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 20.5 12.8 66.7 7.8 50.2 6.3 43.5 43.9
Q3:2022-23 1,356 28.7 13.2 58.1 15.5 37.0 6.1 56.9 30.9
Q4:2022-23 1,066 19.8 10.5 69.7 9.3 34.7 8.1 57.2 26.7
Q1:2023-24 1,247 31.4 10.4 58.2 21.0 23.7 6.2 70.2 17.5
Q2:2023-24 1,223 30.5 9.0 60.6 21.5 39.0 6.0 55.1 33.0
Q3:2023-24           36.1 6.1 57.8 30.1
‘Above Normal’ in Level of capacity utilisation is optimistic.

Table 6: Assessment and Expectations for Production Capacity (with regard to expected demand in next 6 months)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
More than adequate Less than adequate Adequate Net response More than adequate Less than adequate Adequate Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 21.1 6.8 72.1 14.3 51.5 5.4 43.0 46.1
Q3:2022-23 1,356 28.9 4.4 66.7 24.6 42.9 4.5 52.7 38.4
Q4:2022-23 1,066 17.3 5.7 77.0 11.6 42.7 3.3 53.9 39.4
Q1:2023-24 1,247 25.8 5.7 68.4 20.1 25.3 3.8 70.9 21.5
Q2:2023-24 1,223 23.3 4.0 72.7 19.3 43.4 3.9 52.7 39.5
Q3:2023-24           42.7 3.2 54.1 39.5
‘More than adequate’ in Assessment of Production Capacity is optimistic.

Table 7: Assessment and Expectations for Exports
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 25.2 14.0 60.8 11.1 65.2 4.4 30.4 60.8
Q3:2022-23 1,356 25.6 17.1 57.3 8.5 61.2 5.2 33.6 56.0
Q4:2022-23 1,066 25.4 13.3 61.3 12.2 55.5 3.9 40.6 51.5
Q1:2023-24 1,247 30.1 12.5 57.4 17.6 43.0 6.8 50.2 36.2
Q2:2023-24 1,223 27.7 10.0 62.3 17.7 57.9 4.4 37.7 53.5
Q3:2023-24           58.1 5.0 36.9 53.1
‘Increase’ in exports is optimistic.

Table 8: Assessment and Expectations for Imports
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 23.5 10.1 66.4 13.4 64.5 3.2 32.3 61.3
Q3:2022-23 1,356 23.8 12.2 64.0 11.6 60.8 3.2 36.0 57.6
Q4:2022-23 1,066 22.6 7.3 70.1 15.3 54.3 2.8 42.9 51.5
Q1:2023-24 1,247 28.9 8.6 62.5 20.4 37.4 4.2 58.4 33.2
Q2:2023-24 1,223 25.5 8.2 66.3 17.2 55.8 3.2 41.0 52.6
Q3:2023-24           54.8 3.9 41.3 51.0
‘Increase’ in imports is optimistic.

Table 9: Assessment and Expectations for level of Raw Materials Inventory
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Above average Below average Average Net response Above average Below average Average Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 15.0 10.5 74.5 -4.6 46.1 4.6 49.3 -41.5
Q3:2022-23 1,356 18.1 7.3 74.6 -10.8 32.8 7.1 60.1 -25.7
Q4:2022-23 1,066 13.1 4.7 82.2 -8.3 32.4 5.6 62.0 -26.8
Q1:2023-24 1,247 13.4 7.1 79.5 -6.3 20.5 2.5 76.9 -18.0
Q2:2023-24 1,223 11.5 5.3 83.2 -6.1 33.0 4.0 63.1 -29.0
Q3:2023-24           30.9 3.6 65.6 -27.3
‘Below average’ Inventory of raw materials is optimistic.

Table 10: Assessment and Expectations for level of Finished Goods Inventory
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Above average Below average Average Net response Above average Below average Average Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 14.2 10.2 75.6 -4.0 45.6 4.3 50.1 -41.3
Q3:2022-23 1,356 17.1 7.7 75.2 -9.5 33.4 6.9 59.7 -26.5
Q4:2022-23 1,066 13.3 5.1 81.5 -8.2 31.9 5.8 62.3 -26.1
Q1:2023-24 1,247 14.0 6.8 79.2 -7.2 19.9 2.8 77.3 -17.2
Q2:2023-24 1,223 11.7 4.5 83.7 -7.2 33.2 4.4 62.4 -28.8
Q3:2023-24           31.4 3.3 65.3 -28.2
‘Below average’ Inventory of finished goods is optimistic.

Table 11: Assessment and Expectations for Employment
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 21.5 9.0 69.5 12.5 57.1 2.1 40.8 54.9
Q3:2022-23 1,356 23.0 9.4 67.7 13.6 45.0 1.2 53.9 43.8
Q4:2022-23 1,066 19.3 7.0 73.7 12.4 39.0 2.5 58.5 36.4
Q1:2023-24 1,247 25.9 9.9 64.2 16.1 29.8 3.1 67.1 26.7
Q2:2023-24 1,223 25.1 7.1 67.7 18.0 43.5 3.0 53.5 40.5
Q3:2023-24           42.5 3.7 53.8 38.8
‘Increase’ in employment is optimistic.

Table 12: Assessment and Expectations for Overall Financial Situation
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Better Worsen No change Net response Better Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 28.7 14.8 56.4 13.9 70.4 3.4 26.2 67.1
Q3:2022-23 1,356 35.6 15.5 49.0 20.1 61.4 3.8 34.8 57.7
Q4:2022-23 1,066 40.2 9.6 50.2 30.6 63.9 3.3 32.8 60.6
Q1:2023-24 1,247 36.6 12.6 50.7 24.0 56.3 3.4 40.3 52.9
Q2:2023-24 1,223 41.6 10.7 47.7 30.9 60.2 3.9 35.9 56.3
Q3:2023-24           68.7 5.1 26.2 63.5
‘Better’ overall financial situation is optimistic.

Table 13: Assessment and Expectations for Working Capital Finance Requirement
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 29.6 6.8 63.5 22.8 65.0 2.6 32.5 62.4
Q3:2022-23 1,356 35.2 7.3 57.5 27.9 51.2 1.6 47.3 49.6
Q4:2022-23 1,066 36.4 4.3 59.3 32.1 52.3 1.1 46.5 51.2
Q1:2023-24 1,247 34.8 5.8 59.4 29.1 48.0 1.9 50.0 46.1
Q2:2023-24 1,223 38.4 5.1 56.6 33.3 53.3 2.2 44.4 51.1
Q3:2023-24           60.2 2.6 37.3 57.6
‘Increase’ in working capital finance is optimistic.

Table 14: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from Internal Accruals)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Improve Worsen No change Net response Improve Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 24.0 8.0 68.0 15.9 64.2 2.4 33.4 61.9
Q3:2022-23 1,356 31.1 9.1 59.8 21.9 51.3 2.0 46.7 49.3
Q4:2022-23 1,066 33.3 4.5 62.2 28.8 55.2 1.7 43.1 53.5
Q1:2023-24 1,247 33.2 7.4 59.4 25.8 48.7 2.0 49.3 46.6
Q2:2023-24 1,223 37.1 6.3 56.6 30.8 54.4 2.1 43.5 52.3
Q3:2023-24           61.6 2.5 35.9 59.1
‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic.

Table 15: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from banks and other sources)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Improve Worsen No change Net response Improve Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 21.9 6.5 71.6 15.4 62.2 1.8 36.1 60.4
Q3:2022-23 1,356 26.0 9.1 64.9 17.0 56.7 1.7 41.6 55.1
Q4:2022-23 1,066 27.8 4.5 67.7 23.3 50.5 1.3 48.2 49.2
Q1:2023-24 1,247 26.5 6.1 67.4 20.4 42.2 2.1 55.7 40.1
Q2:2023-24 1,223 34.9 5.7 59.4 29.1 50.5 1.5 47.9 49.0
Q3:2023-24           58.2 2.5 39.3 55.8
‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic.

Table 16: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from overseas, if applicable)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Improve Worsen No change Net response Improve Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 17.4 6.8 75.8 10.6 65.8 1.2 33.0 64.6
Q3:2022-23 1,356 20.4 9.7 69.9 10.7 59.6 0.8 39.6 58.9
Q4:2022-23 1,066 11.1 3.6 85.3 7.6 51.3 1.3 47.4 50.1
Q1:2023-24 1,247 23.8 5.8 70.4 18.0 34.3 1.8 64.0 32.5
Q2:2023-24 1,223 24.3 5.7 69.9 18.6 52.4 2.0 45.7 50.4
Q3:2023-24           56.4 2.9 40.7 53.5
‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic.

Table 17: Assessment and Expectations for Cost of Finance
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 36.1 6.1 57.8 -30.1 65.6 1.6 32.8 -64.0
Q3:2022-23 1,356 37.0 5.9 57.1 -31.1 53.5 1.6 44.9 -51.9
Q4:2022-23 1,066 36.2 3.8 60.0 -32.4 51.6 1.1 47.3 -50.5
Q1:2023-24 1,247 36.9 4.5 58.6 -32.4 47.5 1.7 50.8 -45.8
Q2:2023-24 1,223 33.0 6.6 60.4 -26.4 56.4 2.2 41.5 -54.2
Q3:2023-24           58.5 3.6 37.9 -54.9
‘Decrease’ in cost of finance is optimistic.

Table 18: Assessment and Expectations for Cost of Raw Materials
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 77.0 4.6 18.4 -72.5 80.6 1.6 17.9 -79.0
Q3:2022-23 1,356 73.0 8.1 18.9 -64.9 66.8 2.6 30.7 -64.2
Q4:2022-23 1,066 64.5 5.4 30.2 -59.1 63.4 2.4 34.2 -60.9
Q1:2023-24 1,247 49.1 8.0 42.8 -41.1 62.6 1.7 35.8 -60.9
Q2:2023-24 1,223 49.3 5.5 45.3 -43.8 60.6 2.4 37.0 -58.3
Q3:2023-24           67.8 2.8 29.3 -65.0
‘Decrease’ in cost of raw materials is optimistic.

Table 19: Assessment and Expectations for Salary/Other Remuneration
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 30.8 4.4 64.7 -26.4 61.3 0.4 38.3 -60.8
Q3:2022-23 1,356 30.1 3.1 66.8 -27.0 46.3 0.3 53.4 -46.0
Q4:2022-23 1,066 23.1 1.9 75.0 -21.2 39.3 0.6 60.0 -38.7
Q1:2023-24 1,247 41.1 3.0 56.0 -38.1 45.2 0.9 53.9 -44.3
Q2:2023-24 1,223 32.3 3.5 64.2 -28.8 49.8 0.5 49.7 -49.3
Q3:2023-24           47.3 1.7 51.0 -45.6
‘Decrease’ in Salary / other remuneration is optimistic.

Table 20: Assessment and Expectations for Selling Price
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 25.1 10.7 64.2 14.4 63.4 3.2 33.4 60.3
Q3:2022-23 1,356 23.3 12.9 63.8 10.4 48.8 3.7 47.5 45.1
Q4:2022-23 1,066 21.6 11.8 66.6 9.7 43.2 3.6 53.1 39.6
Q1:2023-24 1,247 26.1 13.3 60.6 12.8 34.0 5.6 60.4 28.4
Q2:2023-24 1,223 22.3 10.6 67.1 11.7 46.9 5.4 47.7 41.4
Q3:2023-24           45.2 5.2 49.6 40.1
‘Increase’ in selling price is optimistic.

Table 21: Assessment and Expectations for Profit Margin
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 16.2 25.5 58.2 -9.3 57.6 10.1 32.3 47.4
Q3:2022-23 1,356 17.6 26.1 56.3 -8.4 44.2 9.0 46.8 35.2
Q4:2022-23 1,066 16.2 21.6 62.1 -5.4 41.0 8.1 50.9 32.9
Q1:2023-24 1,247 20.6 21.8 57.5 -1.2 30.5 11.4 58.1 19.1
Q2:2023-24 1,223 21.9 17.4 60.7 4.5 43.8 8.1 48.1 35.7
Q3:2023-24           45.5 9.7 44.8 35.8
‘Increase’ in profit margin is optimistic.

Table 22: Assessment and Expectations for Overall Business Situation
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Total response Assessment Expectations
Better Worsen No change Net response Better Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2022-23 1,234 31.6 15.7 52.7 15.8 73.9 3.2 22.9 70.7
Q3:2022-23 1,356 37.7 17.4 44.9 20.3 63.8 4.4 31.7 59.4
Q4:2022-23 1,066 45.9 11.4 42.7 34.4 66.9 3.7 29.4 63.1
Q1:2023-24 1,247 39.9 15.0 45.1 24.9 62.4 4.0 33.6 58.3
Q2:2023-24 1,223 46.0 11.8 42.2 34.3 65.0 4.3 30.7 60.7
Q3:2023-24           73.1 5.2 21.7 67.9
‘Better’ Overall Business Situation is optimistic.

Table 23: Business Sentiments
Quarter Business Assessment Index (BAI) Business Expectations Index (BEI)
Q2:2022-23 106.7 137.5
Q3:2022-23 108.6 134.4
Q4:2022-23 112.2 132.9
Q1:2023-24 112.2 126.4
Q2:2023-24 115.0 132.5
Q3:2023-24   135.4

1 सर्वेक्षण के परिणाम उत्तरदाताओं के विचारों को दर्शाते हैं, जिन्हें आवश्यक रूप से रिज़र्व बैंक द्वारा साझा नहीं किया जाता है। पिछले सर्वेक्षण दौर के परिणाम 10 अगस्त, 2023 को बैंक की वेबसाइट पर जारी किए गए।

2 प्रत्येक सर्वेक्षण दौर के लिए, दो सारांश सूचकांकों की गणना की जाती है - एक मूल्यांकन पर आधारित [अर्थात, व्यवसाय मूल्यांकन सूचकांक (BAI)] और दूसरा अपेक्षाओं पर आधारित] अर्थात, व्यावसायिक अपेक्षाएँ सूचकांक (BEI)]। प्रत्येक सूचकांक एक समग्र संकेतक है जिसकी गणना नौ व्यावसायिक मापदंडों के एक साधारण औसत के रूप में की जाती है, जहां प्रत्येक पैरामीटर को भारित शुद्ध प्रतिक्रिया के रूप में प्राप्त किया जाता है, भार सकल मूल्य वर्धित (जीवीए) में उद्योग समूहों का हिस्सा होता है। विचार किए गए नौ पैरामीटर हैं: 1) समग्र व्यावसायिक स्थिति; (2) उत्पादन; (3) ऑर्डर बुक; (4) कच्चे माल की सूची; (5) तैयार माल की सूची; (6) लाभ मार्जिन; (7) रोजगार; (8) निर्यात; और (9) क्षमता उपयोग)। बीएआई/बीईआई प्रत्येक तिमाही में कारोबारी दृष्टिकोण का एक स्नैपशॉट देता है और 0 और 200 के बीच मान लेता है, जिसमें 100 संकुचन से विस्तार को अलग करने वाली सीमा है।

3 Net Response (NR) is the difference between the percentage of respondents reporting optimism and those reporting pessimism. It ranges between -100 to 100. Any value greater than zero indicates expansion/optimism and any value less than zero indicates contraction/pessimism. In other words, NR = (I – D), where, I is the percentage response of ‘Increase/optimism’, and D is the percentage response of ‘Decrease/pessimism’ and E is the percentage response as ‘no change/equal’ (i.e., I+D+E=100). For example, increase in production is optimism whereas decrease in cost of raw material is optimism.


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