Table 1(a): Product-wise Expectations of Prices for Three Months ahead |
(Percentage of Respondents) |
Survey period ended | May-24 | Nov-24 | Jan-25 | Mar-25 | May-25 |
General | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE |
Prices will increase | 80.6 | 0.81 | 79.3 | 0.89 | 81.6 | 0.79 | 80.7 | 0.87 | 80.5 | 0.86 |
Price increase more than current rate | 59.1 | 1.13 | 53.6 | 1.24 | 57.9 | 1.11 | 54.7 | 1.15 | 54.4 | 1.24 |
Price increase similar to current rate | 17.5 | 0.83 | 19.9 | 0.87 | 19.2 | 0.86 | 20.8 | 0.86 | 22.0 | 0.92 |
Price increase less than current rate | 4.0 | 0.43 | 5.8 | 0.49 | 4.4 | 0.44 | 5.2 | 0.47 | 4.1 | 0.42 |
No changes in prices | 16.6 | 0.77 | 18.7 | 0.87 | 16.5 | 0.76 | 17.3 | 0.84 | 17.5 | 0.83 |
Decline in prices | 2.8 | 0.32 | 2.0 | 0.29 | 2.0 | 0.29 | 2.0 | 0.27 | 2.0 | 0.30 |
Food Product | | | | | | | | | | |
Prices will increase | 81.8 | 0.74 | 83.9 | 0.75 | 83.2 | 0.77 | 83.1 | 0.77 | 82.8 | 0.79 |
Price increase more than current rate | 61.0 | 1.07 | 60.7 | 1.08 | 59.3 | 1.03 | 57.8 | 1.09 | 55.8 | 1.11 |
Price increase similar to current rate | 15.3 | 0.74 | 17.0 | 0.81 | 17.3 | 0.78 | 18.3 | 0.79 | 17.7 | 0.80 |
Price increase less than current rate | 5.5 | 0.46 | 6.2 | 0.50 | 6.7 | 0.53 | 7.0 | 0.54 | 9.3 | 0.62 |
No changes in prices | 12.1 | 0.64 | 11.1 | 0.64 | 11.5 | 0.66 | 12.2 | 0.69 | 11.9 | 0.66 |
Decline in prices | 6.1 | 0.46 | 5.0 | 0.44 | 5.3 | 0.45 | 4.7 | 0.40 | 5.4 | 0.45 |
Non- Food Product | | | | | | | | | | |
Prices will increase | 75.0 | 0.85 | 75.9 | 0.90 | 75.2 | 0.86 | 75.6 | 0.89 | 75.3 | 0.92 |
Price increase more than current rate | 53.7 | 1.11 | 51.7 | 1.14 | 52.5 | 1.04 | 53.3 | 1.07 | 51.5 | 1.14 |
Price increase similar to current rate | 15.6 | 0.72 | 17.9 | 0.78 | 16.8 | 0.74 | 15.3 | 0.74 | 17.5 | 0.75 |
Price increase less than current rate | 5.7 | 0.50 | 6.3 | 0.50 | 6.0 | 0.47 | 7.0 | 0.54 | 6.2 | 0.50 |
No changes in prices | 19.3 | 0.78 | 19.9 | 0.85 | 20.4 | 0.79 | 20.2 | 0.82 | 20.2 | 0.83 |
Decline in prices | 5.7 | 0.43 | 4.2 | 0.39 | 4.4 | 0.40 | 4.2 | 0.39 | 4.6 | 0.40 |
Household Durables | | | | | | | | | | |
Prices will increase | 68.2 | 0.94 | 66.5 | 1.00 | 67.0 | 0.99 | 66.7 | 0.98 | 66.3 | 1.01 |
Price increase more than current rate | 48.3 | 1.10 | 46.3 | 1.11 | 46.9 | 1.09 | 45.2 | 1.11 | 45.5 | 1.12 |
Price increase similar to current rate | 15.2 | 0.74 | 14.5 | 0.70 | 14.7 | 0.71 | 15.8 | 0.74 | 15.3 | 0.69 |
Price increase less than current rate | 4.7 | 0.44 | 5.7 | 0.50 | 5.4 | 0.45 | 5.8 | 0.51 | 5.5 | 0.46 |
No changes in prices | 23.4 | 0.86 | 24.8 | 0.89 | 25.3 | 0.92 | 24.6 | 0.90 | 26.6 | 0.94 |
Decline in prices | 8.5 | 0.53 | 8.7 | 0.55 | 7.8 | 0.50 | 8.6 | 0.52 | 7.1 | 0.50 |
Cost of Housing | | | | | | | | | | |
Prices will increase | 80.4 | 0.81 | 78.9 | 0.85 | 78.5 | 0.91 | 78.0 | 0.88 | 78.3 | 0.93 |
Price increase more than current rate | 59.3 | 1.06 | 57.4 | 1.14 | 58.0 | 1.10 | 56.5 | 1.09 | 57.1 | 1.16 |
Price increase similar to current rate | 16.7 | 0.77 | 16.4 | 0.76 | 15.6 | 0.75 | 16.0 | 0.73 | 16.7 | 0.75 |
Price increase less than current rate | 4.3 | 0.44 | 5.1 | 0.46 | 4.9 | 0.44 | 5.4 | 0.48 | 4.4 | 0.41 |
No changes in prices | 16.7 | 0.77 | 18.2 | 0.79 | 18.3 | 0.87 | 19.1 | 0.84 | 19.1 | 0.88 |
Decline in prices | 3.0 | 0.34 | 2.9 | 0.33 | 3.2 | 0.36 | 2.9 | 0.34 | 2.6 | 0.31 |
Cost of Services | | | | | | | | | | |
Prices will increase | 68.6 | 0.98 | 66.3 | 0.99 | 68.4 | 0.99 | 69.3 | 0.98 | 69.9 | 0.97 |
Price increase more than current rate | 49.2 | 1.12 | 46.6 | 1.12 | 48.2 | 1.10 | 49.0 | 1.10 | 49.7 | 1.13 |
Price increase similar to current rate | 14.4 | 0.68 | 14.8 | 0.70 | 14.9 | 0.74 | 14.9 | 0.71 | 15.9 | 0.73 |
Price increase less than current rate | 5.0 | 0.46 | 5.0 | 0.44 | 5.4 | 0.45 | 5.3 | 0.46 | 4.3 | 0.41 |
No changes in prices | 27.3 | 0.94 | 30.7 | 0.98 | 28.4 | 0.96 | 27.8 | 0.95 | 28.0 | 0.97 |
Decline in prices | 4.1 | 0.39 | 2.9 | 0.33 | 3.1 | 0.36 | 3.0 | 0.34 | 2.1 | 0.27 |
Note: |
1. The table provides estimates and standard errors (SE) for qualitative responses. |
2. Constituent items may not add up to the corresponding total, due to rounding off. |