Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of 35th round of its quarterly Bank Lending Survey (BLS)1, which captures qualitative assessment and expectations of major scheduled commercial banks on credit parameters (viz., loan demand as well as terms and conditions of loans) for major economic sectors2. The latest round of the survey, which was conducted during Q4:2025-26, collected senior loan officers’ assessment of credit parameters for Q4:2025-26 and their expectations for Q1, Q2 and Q3 of 2026-27. Highlights: A.Assessment for Q4:2025-26 B. Expectations for Q1:2026-27 C. Expectations for Q2:2026-27 and Q3:2026-27 | Table 1: Sector-wise Loan Demand - Net Response3 | | (per cent) | | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | | Q3:2025-26* | Q4:2025-26 | Q4:2025-26* | Q1:2026-27 | | All Sectors | 48.2 | 48.2 | 50.0 | 28.6 | | Agriculture | 43.3 | 40.0 | 41.7 | 25.0 | | Mining and Quarrying | 16.1 | 12.5 | 16.1 | 8.9 | | Manufacturing | 36.2 | 41.4 | 50.0 | 34.5 | | Infrastructure | 40.0 | 40.0 | 46.7 | 33.3 | | Services | 48.2 | 46.6 | 48.2 | 29.3 | | Retail/Personal | 41.4 | 39.3 | 46.6 | 28.6 | | * Based on the previous round’s response. | | Table 2: Sector-wise Loan Terms and Conditions - Net Response | | (per cent) | | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | | Q3:2025-26* | Q4:2025-26 | Q4:2025-26* | Q1:2026-27 | | All Sectors | 16.7 | 14.8 | 22.2 | 18.5 | | Agriculture | 18.3 | 15.5 | 18.3 | 15.5 | | Mining and Quarrying | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | Manufacturing | 12.5 | 12.5 | 21.4 | 17.9 | | Infrastructure | 12.1 | 8.6 | 13.8 | 10.3 | | Services | 18.5 | 19.6 | 22.2 | 17.9 | | Retail/Personal | 22.2 | 23.1 | 24.1 | 19.2 | | * Based on the previous round’s response. | | Table 3: Sector-wise Expectations for Extended Period - Net Response | | (per cent) | | Sector | Loan Demand | Loan Terms and Conditions | | Q2:2026-27 | Q3:2026-27 | Q2:2026-27 | Q3:2026-27 | | All Sectors | 41.1 | 41.1 | 18.5 | 24.1 | | Agriculture | 36.7 | 30.0 | 12.1 | 17.2 | | Mining and Quarrying | 16.1 | 17.9 | 1.9 | 3.7 | | Manufacturing | 36.7 | 45.0 | 19.0 | 22.4 | | Infrastructure | 33.3 | 41.7 | 12.1 | 17.2 | | Services | 43.1 | 46.6 | 17.9 | 21.4 | | Retail/Personal | 31.0 | 34.5 | 21.4 | 21.4 | Note: Please see the attached excel file for detailed time series data.
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