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Date : 25 Jun 2015
Contents
Foreword
List of Select Abbreviations
Overview
Chapter I : Macro-Financial Risks
Global backdrop
Domestic economy
Growth
Inflation
Saving and investment
Government finances
External sector
Corporate sector
Assets prices
Housing
Securities market
Chapter II : Financial Institutions: Soundness and Resilience
Scheduled commercial banks
Performance
Resilience-Stress tests
Scheduled urban co-operative banks
Performance
Resilience-Stress tests
Non-banking financial companies
Performance
Resilience-Stress tests
Interconnectedness
Chapter III : Financial Sector Regulation
Part I : Enabling Regulations for Market Access and Financial Stability
Part II : Financial Sector in India – Regulation and Development
Developments in international regulations
Regulatory and developmental issues in the Indian financial system
Banking sector
Non-banking financial sector
Financial inclusion
Financial safety nets: Deposits insurance
Securities market
Insurance sector
Commodity derivatives market
Pension sector
Financial market infrastructure
Annex 1: Systemic Risk Survey
Annex 2: Methodologies
LIST OF BOXES
2.1 Performance of the iron & steel sector
2.2 Performance of the power sector
3.1 Revised framework for dealing with the asset quality of large credit
3.2 ‘Does augmentation of capital reduce risk?’
3.3 Measures for strengthening crop and other insurance services
3.4 Major recommendations of the Bajpai Committee on the pension sector
LIST OF CHARTS
1.1 Indebtedness of the government and private sector
1.2 Trade weighted US dollar index
1.3 Breakeven inflation rates and government bond yields
1.4 German bunds and euro high yield spread
1.5 Current account balance
1.6 10-year sovereign bond yields
1.7 Indicators of growth
1.8 Saving and investment
1.9 Quality of fiscal adjustment
1.10 Oil and non-oil imports
1.11 India’s indebtedness
1.12 Corporate sector leverage and solvency indicators
1.13 House prices in India
1.14 LTI and LTV: Share in new housing loans
1.15 Stock market returns and net portfolio investments
1.16 Utilisation of debt limit and investment in debt by FPIs
1.17 Share in assets under custody (equity and debt) of FPIs by country (top 5)
2.1 Credit and deposit growth: y-o-y basis
2.2 Credit growth on y-o-y basis in select sectors
2.3 Capital adequacy-CRAR
2.4 Leverage ratio of SCBs
2.5 Asset quality of SCBs
2.6 NNPAs of SCBs
2.7 Stressed advances in broad sectors
2.8 GNPAs in select sub-sectors of industry
2.9 Net interest income to total operating income: Bank-group wise
2.10 Banking stability indicator
2.11 Banking stability map
2.12 Projection of system level GNPAs and CRAR of SCBs
2.13 Projection of bank-group wise GNPA ratio and CRAR
2.14 Projected sectoral NPA under various scenarios
2.15 Expected loss: Bank-group wise
2.16 Unexpected loss and expected shortfall: Bank-group wise
2.17 Expected loss and unexpected loss: Bank-wise
2.18 CRAR-wise distribution of banks
2.19 Credit risk: concentration
2.20 Bottom-up stress tests – credit and market risks – impact on CRAR
2.21 Bottom-up stress tests – liquidity risk
2.22 Share of off-balance sheet assets (credit equivalent) of SCBs
2.23 MTM of total derivatives – baseline
2.24 Stress tests – impact of shocks on derivatives portfolio of select banks
2.25 Asset quality of NBFC sector
2.26 CRAR of NBFC sector
2.27 Trends in RoA of NBFC sector
2.28 Share of fund and non-fund based exposures in the interbank market
2.29 Lending and borrowing in the interbank fund based market
2.30 Size of short term and long term fund based exposures in the interbank market
2.31 Short term fund based interbank borrowing as a percentage of total outside liabilities
2.32 Interbank CD market
2.33 Lending and borrowing pattern of PSBs in the interbank market
2.34 Network structure of the banking system
2.35 Indicators of interconnectedness
2.36 Share of the top 10 banks in key areas
2.37 Top 10 banks in the system and their respective GNPA ratio
3.i Ratio of total financial sector assets to GDP (in US$)
3.1 Trends in public issues of equity and debt by Indian companies
3.2 Traded value in the secondary corporate debt market
3.3 Incremental number of cases and amount of debt approved under CDR
3.4 Share of PSBs in total deposits and advances of the banking system
3.5 ‘Price to book value’ ratio
3.6 Trends in ratios of EBPT and PBT to average assets
3.7 Comparative size of the 5 biggest UCBs vis-a-vis the 5 smallest private sector SCBs
3.8 Trends in share of algo trades in total trades of the equity cash segment
3.9 Trends in agricultural commodity derivatives
3.10 Growth in national pension scheme
3.11 Distribution of settlement systems (value)
3.12 Distribution of settlement systems (volume)
LIST OF TABLES
2.1 Contribution of stressed sectors to the advances as well as stressed advances
2.2 Profitability of SCBs
2.3 Components of income of SCBs
2.4 Macroeconomic scenario assumptions
2.5 Credit risk - shocks and impacts
2.6 Sectoral credit risk : Industry - shocks and impacts
2.7 Sectoral credit risk : Infrastructure - shocks and impacts
2.8 Interest rate risk – bank groups - shocks and impacts
2.9 Liquidity risk – shocks and impacts
2.10 Select financial soundness indicators of SUCBs
2.11 Consolidated balance sheet of NBFC sector
2.12 Financial performance of NBFC sector
2.13 Insurance companies’ and AMCs’ investment in CDs issued by banks
2.14 Banks, AMCs and insurance companies
2.15 Investment by SCBs, AMCs and insurance companies in NBFCs
2.16 Contagion triggered by banks with highest stressed asset ratio
2.17 Contagion triggered by top 10 banks in the system
3.1 Progress on financial inclusion by banks since 2010 and during 2014-15

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