Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of its 65th round of the quarterly order books, inventories and capacity utilisation survey (OBICUS), which was conducted during Q1:2024-25 and covered 900 manufacturing companies. The survey1 provides a snapshot of demand conditions in India’s manufacturing sector during January-March 2024. Highlights: - At the aggregate level, capacity utilisation (CU) in the manufacturing sector increased to 76.8 per cent in Q4:2023-24 from 74.7 per cent in the previous quarter. Seasonally Adjusted CU (CU-SA), however, remained stable at 74.6 per cent in Q4:2023-24 (Chart 1 and Table 1).
- New orders received by the responding companies during Q4:2023-24 increased on both sequential (q-o-q) and annual (y-o-y) basis though the annual growth was a shade lower than that recorded in the previous quarter (Chart 2 and Table 2A).
- Both the finished goods inventory (FGI) to sales ratio and the raw material inventory2 (RMI) to sales ratio remained close to their levels in the previous quarter (Chart 3 and Table 3A).
Note- Please see the excel file for time series data. ANNEX 1: Data Tables Table 1: Capacity Utilisation | Quarter | Number of responding companies | Capacity Utilisation | Seasonally Adjusted Capacity Utilisation | Q4:2022-23 | 705 | 76.3 | 74.1 | Q1:2023-24 | 665 | 73.6 | 75.4 | Q2:2023-24 | 752 | 74.0 | 74.5 | Q3:2023-24 | 761 | 74.7 | 74.6 | Q4:2023-24 | 832 | 76.8 | 74.6 | Note: The Seasonally Adjusted Capacity Utilisation is calculated using X13-ARIMA-SEATS (Signal Extraction in ARIMA Time Series) taking the Covid-19 lockdown quarter Q1:2020-21 as an additive outlier. | Table 2A: Order Books Growth | Quarter | Number of companies | Q-o-Q Growth # (per cent) | Y-o-Y Growth # (per cent) | Backlog Orders | New Order Book | Pending Orders | Backlog Orders | New Order Book | Pending Orders | Q4:2022-23 | 261 | 3.9 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 15.8 | 6.0 | 15.3 | Q1:2023-24 | 244 | -5.2 | -1.3 | -4.5 | 22.7 | 1.5 | 9.3 | Q2:2023-24 | 245 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 24.1 | 7.3 | 15.7 | Q3:2023-24 | 233 | 4.7 | -0.4 | 4.1 | 13.7 | 10.1 | 19.0 | Q4:2023-24 | 224 | 3.4 | 10.0 | 0.2 | 18.9 | 6.8 | 10.4 | #: Growth rates are calculated using common set of companies responding in three survey rounds, namely the current quarter, one quarter ago and the corresponding quarter a year ago. | Table 2B: Average Size of Order Books | Quarter | Number of companies | Average Amount (₹ crore) | Backlog Orders | New Order Book | Pending Orders | Q4:2022-23 | 261 | 215.6 | 225.4 | 221.9 | Q1:2023-24 | 244 | 212.0 | 236.2 | 201.2 | Q2:2023-24 | 245 | 227.7 | 248.6 | 240.4 | Q3:2023-24 | 233 | 228.6 | 252.1 | 238.0 | Q4:2023-24 | 224 | 221.6 | 267.2 | 222.2 | Table 3A: Inventory to Sales Ratios | Quarter | Number of Companies | Ratio (per cent) ## | Total Inventory / Sales | Finished Goods Inventory / Sales | Raw Material Inventory / Sales | Q4:2022-23 | 658 | 64.1 | 23.2 | 25.3 | Q1:2023-24 | 622 | 63.0 | 24.8 | 24.4 | Q2:2023-24 | 688 | 65.9 | 24.6 | 24.4 | Q3:2023-24 | 714 | 67.7 | 26.8 | 24.8 | Q4:2023-24 | 803 | 65.4 | 26.6 | 24.3 | ##: Weighted average of industry level ratios using Gross Value Added as weights. | Table 3B: Average Sales and Inventories | Quarter | Number of Companies | Average Amount (₹ crore) | Sales | Total Inventory | Finished Goods Inventory | Work in progress Inventory | Raw Material Inventory | Q4:2022-23 | 658 | 1172.2 | 546.6 | 225.4 | 62.7 | 206.2 | Q1:2023-24 | 622 | 1163.1 | 534.3 | 226.9 | 62.8 | 195.7 | Q2:2023-24 | 688 | 1091.7 | 608.1 | 226.7 | 120.4 | 203.8 | Q3:2023-24 | 714 | 1069.6 | 581.4 | 226.0 | 110.3 | 187.5 | Q4:2023-24 | 803 | 1185.6 | 585.0 | 228.8 | 104.9 | 197.8 | Note: The methodology for computations of order book growth and inventory to sales ratios is given in the RBI press release dated October 8, 2021 (link: https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/PublicationsView.aspx?id=20650). Please also see footnote 2 on direct estimation of RMI since 53rd round of the survey. |