Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of 31st round of its quarterly Bank Lending Survey1, which captures qualitative assessment and expectations of major scheduled commercial banks on credit parameters (viz., loan demand as well as terms and conditions of loans) for major economic sectors2. The latest round of the survey, which was conducted during Q4:2024-25, collected senior loan officers’ assessment of credit parameters for Q4:2024-25 and their expectations for Q1, Q2 and Q3 of 2025-26. Highlights: A. Assessment for Q4:2024-25 B. Expectations for Q1:2025-26 C. Expectations for Q2:2025-26 and Q3:2025-26 Table 1: Sector-wise Loan Demand - Net Response3 | (per cent) | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | Q3:2024-25 | Q4:2024-25 | Q4:2024-25 | Q1:2025-26 | All Sectors | 46.3 | 42.6 | 44.4 | 37.0 | Agriculture | 40.0 | 41.7 | 40.0 | 25.0 | Mining and Quarrying | 11.7 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 6.7 | Manufacturing | 44.6 | 42.9 | 46.4 | 41.1 | Infrastructure | 36.7 | 36.7 | 38.3 | 35.0 | Services | 42.9 | 41.1 | 41.1 | 41.1 | Retail/Personal | 42.3 | 52.0 | 46.2 | 38.0 | Table 2: Sector-wise Loan Terms and Conditions - Net Response | (per cent) | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | Q3:2024-25 | Q4:2024-25 | Q4:2024-25 | Q1:2025-26 | All Sectors | 14.3 | 16.1 | 17.9 | 17.9 | Agriculture | 13.3 | 15.0 | 21.7 | 20.0 | Mining and Quarrying | -5.4 | -1.7 | -5.4 | -1.7 | Manufacturing | 20.4 | 19.0 | 18.5 | 17.2 | Infrastructure | 12.5 | 10.0 | 14.3 | 13.3 | Services | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 18.5 | Retail/Personal | 24.0 | 22.9 | 24.0 | 22.9 | Table 3: Sector-wise Expectations for Extended Period - Net Response | (per cent) | Sector | Loan Demand | Loan Terms and Conditions | Q2:2025-26 | Q3:2025-26 | Q2:2025-26 | Q3:2025-26 | All Sectors | 35.7 | 37.5 | 21.4 | 21.4 | Agriculture | 43.3 | 41.7 | 18.3 | 20.0 | Mining and Quarrying | 6.9 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | Manufacturing | 38.3 | 41.7 | 21.7 | 23.3 | Infrastructure | 32.8 | 36.2 | 13.8 | 15.5 | Services | 33.9 | 41.1 | 15.5 | 19.0 | Retail/Personal | 31.0 | 39.7 | 17.2 | 22.4 | Note: Please see the attached excel file for detailed time series data.
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