Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of November 2025 round of its bi-monthly urban consumer confidence survey (UCCS)1. The survey collects current perceptions (vis-à-vis a year ago) and one year ahead expectations of households on general economic situation, employment scenario, overall price situation, own income and spending across 19 major cities. The latest round of the survey was conducted during November 1-10, 2025, covering 6,060 respondents. Highlights: -
The Current Situation Index (CSI)2 improved to 98.4 from 96.9 in the previous round, owing to improved sentiments mainly on price and general economic situation. The Future Expectations Index (FEI) remained highly optimistic, increasing by 0.6 points to 125.6, indicating continued confidence in outlook (Chart 1; Tables 1 and 3). -
Sentiments regarding urban employment situation remained similar to the previous round and their optimism on future employment prospects remained fairly strong. Households’ sentiments regarding their current earning situation and the future sentiments on the same remained range bound (Tables 2 and 5). -
Positive sentiments on the current price level and inflation picked up. On a similar trend, households expect a decline in both price and inflationary pressures over the coming year (Table 3 and 4). -
On the back of easing price pressures, households’ current perception on spending, especially essential spending, moderated sharply. Similar trend is observed for future essential spending as well. However, due to some increase in expectations on non-essential spending in future, the overall future spending remains range bound (Table 6, 7 and 8)  Note: Please see the excel file for time series data3 | Table 1: Perceptions and Expectations on the General Economic Situation | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Improved | Remained Same | Worsened | Net Response | Will Improve | Will Remain Same | Will Worsen | Net Response | | Nov-24 | 35.8 | 21.3 | 42.9 | -7.1 | 54.9 | 17.2 | 27.9 | 27.0 | | Jan-25 | 34.9 | 22.1 | 43.0 | -8.0 | 55.2 | 15.8 | 29.0 | 26.2 | | Mar-25 | 34.7 | 24.7 | 40.6 | -5.9 | 56.6 | 14.9 | 28.5 | 28.0 | | May-25 | 35.7 | 22.4 | 41.9 | -6.2 | 57.9 | 13.4 | 28.7 | 29.2 | | Jul-25 | 34.2 | 27.5 | 38.3 | -4.2 | 55.7 | 20.9 | 23.4 | 32.3 | | Sep-25 | 37.0 | 22.1 | 40.9 | -3.9 | 57.9 | 16.8 | 25.3 | 32.6 | | Nov-25 | 37.2 | 23.1 | 39.7 | -2.5 | 58.5 | 15.8 | 25.7 | 32.9 | | Table 2: Perceptions and Expectations on Employment | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Improved | Remained Same | Worsened | Net Response | Will Improve | Will Remain Same | Will Worsen | Net Response | | Nov-24 | 34.6 | 23.0 | 42.4 | -7.8 | 54.6 | 18.9 | 26.5 | 28.1 | | Jan-25 | 34.5 | 22.7 | 42.7 | -8.2 | 54.7 | 18.3 | 27.0 | 27.6 | | Mar-25 | 35.5 | 23.0 | 41.5 | -6.1 | 56.4 | 16.5 | 27.1 | 29.3 | | May-25 | 36.2 | 21.8 | 42.1 | -5.9 | 56.9 | 16.1 | 27.0 | 29.8 | | Jul-25 | 32.6 | 28.2 | 39.2 | -6.7 | 53.6 | 23.8 | 22.6 | 31.0 | | Sep-25 | 35.3 | 23.2 | 41.5 | -6.2 | 56.6 | 18.3 | 25.1 | 31.5 | | Nov-25 | 35.5 | 22.7 | 41.8 | -6.3 | 57.1 | 17.4 | 25.5 | 31.6 | | Table 3: Perceptions and Expectations on Price Level | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Nov-24 | 94.3 | 5.0 | 0.7 | -93.6 | 82.3 | 9.2 | 8.5 | -73.8 | | Jan-25 | 93.0 | 6.1 | 0.9 | -92.0 | 83.0 | 9.2 | 7.9 | -75.1 | | Mar-25 | 91.0 | 7.8 | 1.3 | -89.7 | 82.2 | 9.4 | 8.4 | -73.8 | | May-25 | 90.9 | 6.6 | 2.5 | -88.5 | 82.5 | 8.1 | 9.4 | -73.1 | | Jul-25 | 90.3 | 6.4 | 3.3 | -87.0 | 81.6 | 9.3 | 9.1 | -72.4 | | Sep-25 | 89.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | -87.3 | 81.0 | 9.1 | 9.9 | -71.1 | | Nov-25 | 83.9 | 11.0 | 5.1 | -78.9 | 78.3 | 12.2 | 9.5 | -68.8 | | Table 4: Perceptions and Expectations on Rate of Change in Price Level (Inflation)* | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Nov-24 | 82.5 | 12.1 | 5.4 | -77.2 | 79.3 | 15.1 | 5.7 | -73.6 | | Jan-25 | 80.7 | 12.9 | 6.5 | -74.2 | 79.9 | 14.5 | 5.7 | -74.2 | | Mar-25 | 79.4 | 14.0 | 6.7 | -72.7 | 78.5 | 15.0 | 6.5 | -72.0 | | May-25 | 78.0 | 14.8 | 7.2 | -70.7 | 78.1 | 14.7 | 7.2 | -70.8 | | Jul-25 | 78.7 | 12.5 | 8.7 | -70.0 | 79.7 | 10.9 | 9.4 | -70.3 | | Sep-25 | 77.8 | 14.7 | 7.6 | -70.2 | 78.0 | 13.0 | 9.1 | -68.9 | | Nov-25 | 76.9 | 14.4 | 8.7 | -68.2 | 75.9 | 16.2 | 7.8 | -68.1 | | *Applicable only for those respondents who felt price has increased/price will increase. | | Table 5: Perceptions and Expectations on Income | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Nov-24 | 23.8 | 51.7 | 24.5 | -0.7 | 56.6 | 37.1 | 6.4 | 50.2 | | Jan-25 | 22.0 | 55.0 | 23.0 | -1.0 | 55.9 | 37.4 | 6.8 | 49.1 | | Mar-25 | 23.8 | 53.0 | 23.3 | 0.5 | 57.5 | 36.0 | 6.5 | 51.0 | | May-25 | 24.1 | 52.2 | 23.7 | 0.4 | 58.0 | 36.3 | 5.7 | 52.3 | | Jul-25 | 22.7 | 56.7 | 20.6 | 2.1 | 57.0 | 38.6 | 4.4 | 52.6 | | Sep-25 | 27.0 | 49.2 | 23.8 | 3.2 | 59.0 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 53.0 | | Nov-25 | 26.0 | 51.5 | 22.5 | 3.5 | 59.1 | 34.8 | 6.0 | 53.1 | | Table 6: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Nov-24 | 80.9 | 17.2 | 1.9 | 79.0 | 80.8 | 16.4 | 2.8 | 78.0 | | Jan-25 | 79.3 | 19.4 | 1.3 | 77.9 | 78.8 | 18.3 | 2.9 | 75.9 | | Mar-25 | 80.1 | 18.8 | 1.2 | 78.9 | 79.6 | 18.0 | 2.4 | 77.2 | | May-25 | 78.7 | 19.9 | 1.4 | 77.3 | 81.1 | 16.4 | 2.5 | 78.6 | | Jul-25 | 80.2 | 17.7 | 2.2 | 78.0 | 81.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 | | Sep-25 | 81.4 | 15.7 | 2.9 | 78.5 | 82.1 | 15.0 | 2.9 | 79.1 | | Nov-25 | 78.7 | 18.6 | 2.6 | 76.1 | 82.2 | 15.1 | 2.8 | 79.3 | | Table 7: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending- Essential Items | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Nov-24 | 88.6 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 86.9 | 85.9 | 11.5 | 2.6 | 83.3 | | Jan-25 | 87.6 | 10.9 | 1.6 | 86.0 | 85.1 | 12.3 | 2.6 | 82.5 | | Mar-25 | 87.4 | 12.0 | 0.6 | 86.9 | 86.2 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 84.4 | | May-25 | 87.5 | 11.0 | 1.4 | 86.1 | 86.9 | 11.3 | 1.8 | 85.1 | | Jul-25 | 87.5 | 11.5 | 1.0 | 86.5 | 87.1 | 12.0 | 0.9 | 86.2 | | Sep-25 | 88.6 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 86.7 | 87.3 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 85.6 | | Nov-25 | 85.2 | 13.1 | 1.7 | 83.5 | 85.5 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 83.0 | | Table 8: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending- Non-Essential Items | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Nov-24 | 30.2 | 37.2 | 32.6 | -2.4 | 38.4 | 35.0 | 26.6 | 11.8 | | Jan-25 | 29.2 | 38.5 | 32.3 | -3.1 | 37.4 | 36.1 | 26.5 | 11.0 | | Mar-25 | 28.5 | 40.9 | 30.7 | -2.2 | 37.7 | 37.7 | 24.6 | 13.1 | | May-25 | 27.8 | 41.1 | 31.2 | -3.4 | 38.2 | 37.3 | 24.5 | 13.8 | | Jul-25 | 37.6 | 25.1 | 37.3 | 0.4 | 43.6 | 27.7 | 28.7 | 15.0 | | Sep-25 | 35.5 | 30.4 | 34.1 | 1.4 | 39.8 | 35.8 | 24.5 | 15.3 | | Nov-25 | 30.4 | 40.2 | 29.4 | 1.0 | 40.8 | 36.9 | 22.3 | 18.5 | |