The stock of external debt at end-June 2020 as well as revised data for earlier quarters are set out in Statements I (old format) and II (IMF format)1. The major developments relating to India’s external debt as at end-June 2020 are presented below. Highlights -
At end-June 2020, India’s external debt was placed at US$ 554.5 billion, recording a decrease of US$ 3.9 billion over its level at end-March 2020 (Table 1). -
The external debt to GDP ratio increased to 21.8 per cent at end-June 2020 from 20.6 per cent at end-March 2020. -
Valuation loss due to the depreciation of the US dollar vis-à-vis major currencies such as euro, yen and SDR2 were placed at US$ 0.7 billion. Excluding the valuation effect, the decrease in external debt would have been US$ 4.5 billion instead of US$ 3.9 billion at end-June 2020 over end-March 2020. -
Commercial borrowings remained the largest component of external debt, with a share of 38.1 per cent, followed by non-resident deposits (23.9 per cent) and short-term trade credit (18.2 per cent). -
At end-June 2020, long-term debt (with original maturity of above one year) was placed at US$ 449.5 billion, recording a decrease of US$ 2.0 billion over its level at end-March 2020. -
The share of short-term debt (with original maturity of up to one year) in total external debt declined to 18.9 per cent at end-June 2020 from 19.1 per cent at end-March 2020; the ratio of short-term debt (original maturity) to foreign exchange reserves declined to 20.8 per cent at end-June 2020 (22.4 per cent at end-March 2020). -
Short-term debt on residual maturity basis (i.e., debt obligations that include long-term debt by original maturity falling due over the next twelve months and short-term debt by original maturity) constituted 44.0 per cent of total external debt at end-June 2020 (42.4 per cent at end-March 2020) and stood at 48.2 per cent of foreign exchange reserves (49.6 per cent at end-March 2020) (Table 2). -
US dollar denominated debt remained the largest component of India’s external debt, with a share of 53.9 per cent at end-June 2020, followed by the Indian rupee (31.6 per cent), yen (5.7 per cent), SDR (4.5 per cent) and the euro (3.5 per cent). -
The borrower-wise classification shows that the outstanding debt of both government and non-government sectors decreased at end-June 2020 (Table 3). -
The share of outstanding debt of non-financial corporations in total external debt was the highest at 42.3 per cent, followed by deposit-taking corporations (except the central bank) (28.1 per cent), general government (18.0 per cent) and other financial corporations (7.4 per cent). -
The instrument-wise classification shows that the loans were the largest component of external debt, with a share of 35.4 per cent, followed by currency and deposits (24.3 per cent), trade credit and advances (18.8 per cent) and debt securities (16.3 per cent) (Table 4). -
Debt service (principal repayments plus interest payments) increased to 8.1 per cent of current receipts at end-June 2020 as compared with 6.5 per cent at end-March 2020, reflecting lower current receipts (Table 5). Table 1: External Debt - Outstanding and Variation | (US$ billion) | Component | Outstanding as at end of | Absolute variation | Percentage variation | June 2019 PR | March 2020 PR | June 2020 P | Jun-20 over Jun-19 | Jun-20 over Mar-20 | Jun-20 over Jun-19 | Jun-20 over Mar-20 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 1. Multilateral | 59.0 | 60.0 | 64.8 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 9.8 | 8.0 | 2. Bilateral | 26.5 | 27.2 | 27.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 3. IMF | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.5 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 0.8 | 4. Trade Credit | 7.8 | 7.2 | 7.0 | -0.8 | -0.2 | -9.7 | -2.2 | 5. Commercial Borrowings | 213.7 | 220.1 | 211.1 | -2.6 | -9.1 | -1.2 | -4.1 | 6. NRI Deposits | 133.6 | 130.6 | 132.7 | -0.9 | 2.1 | -0.6 | 1.6 | 7. Rupee Debt | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -13.4 | -5.2 | 8. Short-term Debt | 109.7 | 106.9 | 105.0 | -4.7 | -1.8 | -4.3 | -1.7 | Of which: | | | | | | | | Short-term trade credit | 104.4 | 101.4 | 101.2 | -3.2 | -0.2 | -3.1 | -0.2 | Total External Debt | 556.9 | 558.4 | 554.5 | -2.4 | -3.9 | -0.4 | -0.7 | Memo Items: | | | | | | | | A. Long-term Debt (original maturity)@ | 447.2 | 451.5 | 449.5 | 2.3 | -2.0 | 0.5 | -0.4 | B. Short-term Debt (original maturity)# | 109.7 | 106.9 | 105.0 | -4.7 | -1.8 | -4.3 | -1.7 | PR: Partially Revised P: Provisional | @: Debt with original maturity of above one year. | #: Debt with original maturity of up to one year. | Table 2: Residual Maturity of Outstanding External Debt as at end-June 2020 | (US$ billion) | Sector | Short-term up to one year | 1 to 2 years | 2 to 3 years | More than 3 years | Total (2 to 5) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | I. General Government | 5.5 | 7.5 | 7.9 | 79.0 | 99.9 | I.A. Short-term (original maturity) | 0.2 | | | | 0.2 | I.B. Long-term (original maturity) | 5.3 | 7.5 | 7.9 | 79.0 | 99.7 | II. Central Bank | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | II.A. Short-term (original maturity) | 0.2 | | | | 0.2 | II.B. Long-term (original maturity) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | III. Deposit-Taking Corporations, except the Central Bank | 96.1 | 22.0 | 11.1 | 26.4 | 155.6 | III.A. Short-term (original maturity) | 1.7 | | | | 1.7 | III.B. Long-term (original maturity) | 94.4 | 22.0 | 11.1 | 26.4 | 154.0 | IV. Other Sectors | 137.4 | 24.8 | 26.4 | 86.7 | 275.3 | IV.A. Short-term (original maturity) | 102.9 | | | | 102.9 | IV.B. Long-term (original maturity) | 34.5 | 24.8 | 26.4 | 86.7 | 172.4 | IV.1. Other financial corporations | 6.7 | 5.2 | 9.0 | 19.9 | 40.9 | IV.1.A. Short-term (original maturity) | 1.7 | | | | 1.7 | IV.1.B. Long-term (original maturity) | 5.0 | 5.2 | 9.0 | 19.9 | 39.2 | IV.2. Non-financial corporations | 130.7 | 19.6 | 17.4 | 66.8 | 234.4 | IV.2.A. Short-term (original maturity) | 101.2 | | | | 101.2 | IV.2.B. Long-term (original maturity) | 29.5 | 19.6 | 17.4 | 66.8 | 133.2 | IV.3. Households and nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISHs) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | IV.3.A. Short-term (original maturity) | 0.0 | | | | 0.0 | IV.3.B. Long-term (original maturity) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | V. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending | 4.8 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 13.0 | 23.4 | A. Total Short-term Debt (original maturity) | 105.0 | | | | 105.0 | B. Total Long-term Debt (original maturity) | 138.9 | 57.2 | 48.2 | 205.2 | 449.5 | C. Total External Debt (A+B) | 244.0 | 57.2 | 48.2 | 205.2 | 554.5 | Memo Items: | | | | | | Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Total External Debt | 44.0 | Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Foreign Exchange Reserves | 48.2 | Table 3: Government and Non-government External Debt | (US$ billion) | Component | End-March | End-June | 2018 | 2019 PR | 2020 PR | 2020 P | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | A. Government Debt (I+II) | 111.9 | 103.8 | 100.9 | 99.9 | (As percentage of GDP) | (4.3) | (3.8) | (3.7) | (3.9) | I. External Debt on Government Account under External Assistance | 68.6 | 68.8 | 72.7 | 77.3 | II. Other Government External Debt @ | 43.4 | 35.0 | 28.1 | 22.6 | B. Non-government Debt | 417.3 | 439.3 | 457.5 | 454.6 | (As percentage of GDP) | (15.9) | (16.0) | (16.9) | (17.9) | B.1. Central Bank | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | B.2. Deposit-taking Corporations, except the Central Bank | 154.6 | 164.3 | 158.2 | 155.6 | B.3. Other Financial Corporations | 26.4 | 31.2 | 40.9 | 40.9 | B.4. Non-financial Corporations | 220.4 | 226.4 | 235.4 | 234.4 | B.5. Households and nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISHs) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | B.6. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending | 15.7 | 17.1 | 22.8 | 23.4 | C. Total External Debt (A+B) | 529.3 | 543.1 | 558.4 | 554.5 | (As percentage of GDP) | (20.1) | (19.8) | (20.6) | (21.8) | PR: Partially Revised P: Provisional | @: Other government external debt includes defence debt, investment in Treasury Bills/government securities by FPIs, foreign central banks and international institutions and IMF. | Table 4: Outstanding External Debt by Instruments | (US$ billion) | Instrument | End-March | End-June | 2018 | 2019 PR | 2020 PR | 2020 P | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1. Special Drawing Rights (allocations) | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 2. Currency and Deposits | 127.6 | 134.4 | 134.1 | 134.6 | 3. Debt Securities | 98.3 | 91.9 | 97.5 | 90.5 | 4. Loans | 178.7 | 189.0 | 194.2 | 196.6 | 5. Trade Credit and Advances | 103.2 | 105.2 | 104.3 | 104.0 | 6. Other Debt Liabilities | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending | 15.7 | 17.1 | 22.8 | 23.4 | Total External Debt | 529.3 | 543.1 | 558.4 | 554.5 | PR: Partially Revised P: Provisional | Table 5: India’s Key External Debt Indicators | (Per cent, unless indicated otherwise) | End-March | External Debt (US$ billion) | Ratio of External Debt to GDP | Debt Service Ratio | Ratio of Foreign Exchange Reserves to Total Debt | Ratio of Concessional Debt to Total Debt | Ratio of Short-Term Debt to Foreign Exchange Reserves | Ratio of Short-Term Debt (original maturity) to Total Debt | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 1991 | 83.8 | 28.3 | 35.3 | 7.0 | 45.9 | 146.5 | 10.2 | 1996 | 93.7 | 26.6 | 26.2 | 23.1 | 44.7 | 23.2 | 5.4 | 2001 | 101.3 | 22.1 | 16.6 | 41.7 | 35.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 2006 | 139.1 | 17.1 | 10.1# | 109.0 | 28.4 | 12.9 | 14.0 | 2007 | 172.4 | 17.7 | 4.7 | 115.6 | 23.0 | 14.1 | 16.3 | 2008 | 224.4 | 18.3 | 4.8 | 138.0 | 19.7 | 14.8 | 20.4 | 2009 | 224.5 | 20.7 | 4.4 | 112.2 | 18.7 | 17.2 | 19.3 | 2010 | 260.9 | 18.5 | 5.8 | 106.9 | 16.8 | 18.8 | 20.1 | 2011 | 317.9 | 18.6 | 4.4 | 95.9 | 14.9 | 21.3 | 20.4 | 2012 | 360.8 | 21.1 | 6.0 | 81.6 | 13.3 | 26.6 | 21.7 | 2013 | 409.4 | 22.4 | 5.9 | 71.3 | 11.1 | 33.1 | 23.6 | 2014 | 446.2 | 23.9 | 5.9 | 68.2 | 10.4 | 30.1 | 20.5 | 2015 | 474.7 | 23.8 | 7.6 | 72.0 | 8.8 | 25.0 | 18.0 | 2016 | 484.8 | 23.4 | 8.8 | 74.3 | 9.0 | 23.2 | 17.2 | 2017 | 471.0 | 19.8 | 8.3 | 78.5 | 9.4 | 23.8 | 18.7 | 2018 | 529.3 | 20.1 | 7.5 | 80.2 | 9.1 | 24.1 | 19.3 | 2019 PR | 543.1 | 19.8 | 6.4 | 76.0 | 8.7 | 26.3 | 20.0 | 2020 PR | 558.4 | 20.6 | 6.5 | 85.6 | 8.8 | 22.4 | 19.1 | End-June 2020 P | 554.5 | 21.8 | 8.1 | 91.2 | 8.9 | 20.8 | 18.9 | PR: Partially Revised P: Provisional | # Works out to 6.3 per cent with the exclusion of India Millennium Deposits (IMDs) repayments of US$ 7.1 billion and pre-payment of external debt of US$ 23.5 million. | (Yogesh Dayal) Chief General Manager Press Release: 2020-2021/414 | |