Foreword |
List of Select Abbreviations |
Overview |
Chapter I : Macrofinancial Risks |
Global Backdrop |
Macrofinancial Development and Outlook |
Global Macrofinancial Risks |
High and Rising Levels of Public Debt |
Asset Valuations and Volatility |
Impact of Artificial Intelligence |
Domestic Macrofinancial Risks |
Domestic Growth and Inflation |
External Sector |
Corporate Sector |
Government Finance |
Household Finance |
Financial Markets |
Banking Stability Indicator |
Banking System |
Emerging Technology Risks |
Non-Banking Financial Companies |
Non-Banking Stability Indicator |
Microfinance |
Consumer Credit |
Mutual Funds |
Financial System Stress Indicator |
Systemic Risk Survey |
Chapter II : Financial Institutions: Soundness and Resilience |
Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) |
Asset Quality |
Sectoral Asset Quality |
Credit Quality of Large Borrowers |
Capital Adequacy |
Earnings and Profitability |
Liquidity |
Resilience – Macro Stress Tests |
Sensitivity Analysis |
Bottom-up Stress Tests: Derivatives Portfolio |
Primary (Urban) Cooperative Banks |
Stress Testing |
Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) |
Stress Test - Credit Risk |
Stress Test - Liquidity Risk |
Stress Testing of Mutual Funds |
Stress Testing Analysis at Clearing Corporations |
Insurance Sector |
Interconnectedness |
Financial System Network |
Contagion Analysis |
Chapter III : Regulatory Initiatives in the Financial Sector |
Global Regulatory Developments |
Markets and Financial Stability |
Technology and Financial Stability |
Banking and Financial Stability |
Non-Banking Financial Intermediation and Financial Stability |
Cross-Border Payments and Financial Stability |
Climate Finance and Financial Stability |
Domestic Regulatory Developments |
Initiatives from Regulators / Authorities |
Directions on Fraud Risk Management to Regulated Entities |
Prompt Corrective Action Framework for Primary (Urban) Co-operative Banks |
Treatment of Wilful Defaulters and Large Defaulters |
Cyber Resilience and Digital Payment Security Controls for Non-Bank Payment System Operators |
Scheme for Trading and Settlement of Sovereign Green Bonds in the International Financial Services Centre in India |
Irregular Practices in Gold loans |
Recognition of Central Counterparties by Foreign Regulators |
Strengthening of Foreign Portfolio Investors Norms |
Association of Persons Regulated by SEBI and their Agents with Certain Persons (‘Finfluencers’) |
Valuation of Additional Tier 1 Bonds (‘AT-1 Bonds’) |
Measures to Strengthen Equity Index Derivatives Framework |
Review of Eligibility Criteria for Entry/Exit of Stocks in Derivative Segment |
Review of Stress Testing Framework for Equity Derivatives Segment |
Monitoring of Position Limits for Equity Derivatives Segment |
Review of Small and Medium Enterprises framework |
Cybersecurity and Cyber Resilience Framework for SEBI regulated entities |
Framework of Financial Disincentives for Surveillance Related Lapses at Market Infrastructure Institutions |
Upstreaming of Clients’ Funds by Stock Brokers/ Clearing Members to Clearing Corporations |
Specific Due Diligence of Investors and Investments of Alternative Investment Funds |
Institutional Mechanism by Asset Management Companies for Deterrence of Potential Market Abuse |
Use of Artificial Intelligence in the Financial Sector |
Other Developments |
Customer Protection |
Enforcement |
Deposit Insurance |
Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process |
Developments in International Financial Services Centre |
Pension Funds |
Insurance |
Annex 1: Systemic Risk Survey |
Annex 2: Methodologies |
Annex 3: Important Domestic Regulatory Measures |
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) |
Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) |
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI) |
Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) |
Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India (IBBI) |
International Financial Services Centres Authority (IFSCA) |
LIST OF BOXES |
Chapter I |
1.1 Transmission of Global Spillovers to Domestic Financial Conditions |
1.2 Emerging Technologies in Indian Banks |
1.3 Non-Banking Stability Indicator |
Chapter II |
2.1 Revised Macro-Stress Testing Framework |
2.2 Revamped Liquidity Stress Test of SCBs based on LCR framework |
2.3 Identification of Impactful and Vulnerable Banks |
LIST OF CHARTS |
Chapter I |
1.1 Global Growth Projections |
1.2 Policy Rate and Inflation |
1.3 Banking Sector Soundness Indicators |
1.4 Downside Risks to Global Growth Outlook |
1.5 Financial Conditions |
1.6 Uncertainty and Volatility |
1.7 Public Debt-to-GDP Ratio and Forecast Errors |
1.8 Public Debt and Interest Burden |
1.9 Debt Vulnerabilities in EMDEs |
1.10 Equity Market Performance and Valuation |
1.11 Credit Spreads and Government Bond Yields |
1.12 Carry Trade and Volatility |
1.13 Movement of Major Currencies against the US Dollar during August 1-5, 2024 |
1.14 Crypto-assets and Stablecoins |
1.15 Global Spending on Artificial Intelligence |
1.16 Market Concentration and Cyber Attacks |
1.17 GDP Growth and Weighted Contribution of Components |
1.18 Inflation |
1.19 Uncertainties in Global Trade |
1.20 Trade Deficit, Service Exports and Private Transfers |
1.21 Balance of Payments |
1.22 External Vulnerability Indicators |
1.23 Sales Growth of Listed Private NFCs |
1.24 Profitability Trend (Growth and Margins) - Listed Private NFCs |
1.25 Financing of Listed Private Non-Financial Companies |
1.26 Debt Serviceability of NFCs |
1.27 NFCs – Debt-to-Equity and Debt-to-GDP Ratios |
1.28 Quality of Expenditure – Central Government |
1.29 Debt Sustainability – Central Government |
1.30 Debt and Interest Burden – State Government |
1.31 India, AEs and EMDEs – Debt and Fiscal Deficit |
1.32 Household Debt and Decomposition |
1.33 Household (Individual) Borrowings from Financial Institutions (by Amount) |
1.34 Distribution of Debt by Borrower Category |
1.35 Per Capita Debt of Household (Individual) Borrower |
1.36 Financial Conditions Index – India |
1.37 Money Market Rates, Bond Yields and System Liquidity |
1.38 CD Issuances and Money Market Spreads |
1.39 Sovereign Yield Curve and Term Spread |
1.40 Listed Corporate Bond Issuance and Subscription |
1.41 Corporate Bond Spreads |
1.42 Equity Market Performance |
1.43 Equity Return Decomposition |
1.44 Broader Equity Market Valuations |
1.45 Midcap, Smallcap and Microcap Valuation |
1.46 Earnings and Valuations |
1.47 Trends in Net Investments |
1.48 Demand for and Supply of Equities |
1.49 Intraday Trading by Individuals in Equity Cash Segment |
1.50 Exchange Rate Movements |
1.51 Exchange Rate Stability Indicators |
1.52 Banking Stability Map |
1.53 Capital and Profitability |
1.54 Asset Quality |
1.55 Banks Signalling Vulnerabilities in Three or More Areas of Risk |
1.56 Loan-Deposit Divergence – Long Term Dynamics |
1.57 Banking System – Balance Sheet Dynamics |
1.58 Banks’ Funding Gap |
1.59 Credit and GDP Growth and Credit-GDP Gap |
1.60 Deposit Profile and Profitability |
1.61 Incremental Credit and Growth Rate in Select Sectors |
1.62 Write-offs and Movement in GNPA |
1.63 Liquidity Coverage Ratio |
1.64 NBFCs’ Loan Growth |
1.65 Bank Lending to NBFCs and Bank Borrowings in NBFCs’ Liabilities |
1.66 Foreign Currency Borrowings by Outlier NBFCs |
1.67 NBFCs – Financial Indicators |
1.68 Microfinance Sector – Credit and Borrowers |
1.69 Stress in the Microfinance Sector |
1.70 Indebtedness in the Microfinance Sector |
1.71 Cost of Funds and Yield on Loans for NBFC-MFIs |
1.72 Consumer Credit Growth |
1.73 Inquiry Volumes and Approval Rates |
1.74 Asset Quality of Retail Loans |
1.75 Retail Loans at Risk |
1.76 Category-wise Loan Originated with an Overdue Personal Loan |
1.77 Consumer Loan Distribution by Risk Tier |
1.78 Profile of Personal Loans by Income Group |
1.79 Trend in Unsecured Personal Loans and Housing Loans by Income Group |
1.80 Monthly SIP Contributions and Outstanding SIP Accounts |
1.81 Net Inflows into Different Equity Schemes of Mutual Funds |
1.82 Net Inflows in Open-Ended Equity-Oriented Schemes |
1.83 Net Inflows in Open-Ended Debt-Oriented Schemes |
1.84 FSSI and its Broad Components |
1.85 Components of FSSI |
1.86 Potential Risks to Financial Stability |
Chapter II |
2.1 Deposit and Credit Profile of SCBs |
2.2 Select Asset Quality Indicators |
2.3 Sectoral Asset Quality Indicators |
2.4 Select Asset Quality Indicators of Large Borrowers |
2.5 Capital Adequacy |
2.6 Select Performance Indicators of SCBs |
2.7 Liquidity Ratios |
2.8 Macro Scenario Assumptions |
2.9 CRAR Projections |
2.10 Projection of CET-1 Capital Ratio |
2.11 Projection of SCBs’ GNPA Ratios |
2.12 Impact of Liquidity Risk on Solvency |
2.13 Credit Risk - Shocks and Outcomes |
2.14 Credit Concentration Risk: Individual Borrowers – Exposure |
2.15 Credit Concentration Risk: Group Borrowers – Exposure |
2.16 Credit Concentration Risk: Individual Borrowers – Stressed Advances |
2.17 AFS and FVTPL (including HFT) Portfolios: Bank – Group wise |
2.18 Yield Curves and Shift in Yields across Tenors |
2.19 HTM Portfolio – Composition |
2.20 HTM Portfolio – Unrealised Gain/ Loss |
2.21 Equity Price Risk |
2.22 MTM Position of Total Derivatives Portfolio of Select Banks |
2.23 Impact of Shocks on Derivatives Portfolio of Select Banks |
2.24 Income from the Derivatives Portfolio |
2.25 Credit Profile and Asset Quality Indicators of UCBs |
2.26 Stress Test of UCBs |
2.27 Credit Profile of NBFCs |
2.28 Growth and Delinquency of Components of Retail Loans |
2.29 GNPA Ratio |
2.30 Provision Coverage Ratio |
2.31 Capital Adequacy and Profitability |
2.32 Liquidity Stock Measures |
2.33 Credit Risk in NBFCs - System Level |
2.34 Range (Surplus (+)/ Deficit (-)) of LR-RaR Maintained by AMCs over AMFI Prescribed Limits |
2.35 Range (Surplus (+)/ Deficit (-)) of LR-CRaR Maintained by AMCs over AMFI Prescribed Limits |
2.36 Bilateral Exposures between Entities in the Financial System |
2.37 Instrument-wise Exposure among Entities in the Financial System |
2.38 Network Plot of the Financial System |
2.39 Net Receivables (+ve)/ Payables (-ve) by Institutions |
2.40 Inter-Bank Market |
2.41 Share of Different Bank Groups in the Inter-Bank Market |
2.42 Composition of Fund based Inter-Bank Market |
2.43 Network Structure of the Indian Banking System (SCBs + SFBs + SUCBs) |
2.44 Connectivity Statistics of the Banking System (SCBs) |
2.45 Gross Receivables of AMC-MFs from the Financial System |
2.46 Gross Receivables of Insurance Companies from the Financial System |
2.47 Gross Payables of NBFCs to the Financial System |
2.48 Gross Payables of HFCs to the Financial System |
2.49 Gross Payables of AIFIs to the Financial System |
2.50 Contagion Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks (Solvency Contagion) |
Chapter III |
3.1 Summary of Outcomes - Resolution to Liquidation ratio |
3.2 NPS and APY – Subscribers and AUM Trend |
3.3 NPS and APY AUM: Asset Class-wise Bifurcation (per cent of Total AUM) |
LIST OF TABLES |
Chapter I |
1.1 Sovereign Rating of G20 Economies |
1.2 Capital Flows |
1.3 Hedging Status of ECB Loans |
1.4 Central Government Finances - Key Deficit Indicators |
1.5 State Governments - Key Deficit Indicators |
1.6 Returns of Nifty Benchmark Indices |
1.7 Assets under Management of the Domestic Mutual Fund Industry |
1.8 Summary of Stress Tests and Liquidity Analysis of Midcap and Smallcap MF Schemes |
Chapter II |
2.1 Decline in System Level CRAR |
2.2 PV01 of AFS and FVTPL (including HFT) Portfolios |
2.3 Interest Rate Risk – Bank-groups - Shocks and Impacts |
2.4 Other Operating Income - Profit/ (Loss) on Securities Trading – All Banks |
2.5 Earnings at Risk - Traditional Gap Analysis |
2.6 Market Value of Equity - Duration Gap Analysis |
2.7 NBFCs’ Sources of Funds |
2.8 Liquidity Risk in NBFCs |
2.9 Stress Testing of Open-Ended Debt Schemes of Mutual Funds – Summary Findings |
2.10 Minimum Required Corpus of Core SGF Based on Stress Testing Analysis at Clearing Corporations |
2.11 Solvency Ratio of Life Insurance Sector |
2.12 Solvency Ratio of Non-Life Insurance Sector |
2.13 Contagion Losses due to Bank Failure |
2.14 Contagion Losses due to NBFC Failure |
2.15 Contagion Losses due to HFC Failure |
Chapter III |
3.1 Category of Complaints Received under the RB-IOS, 2021 |
3.2 Coverage of Deposits |
3.3 Bank Group-wise Deposit Protection Coverage |
3.4 Deposit Insurance Premium |
3.5 Deposit Insurance Fund and Reserve Ratio |
3.6 Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process |
3.7 Sectoral Distribution of CIRPs |
3.8 Outcome of CIRPs, Initiated Stakeholder-wise |