Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of 33rd round of its quarterly Bank Lending Survey (BLS)1, which captures qualitative assessment and expectations of major scheduled commercial banks on credit parameters (viz., loan demand as well as terms and conditions of loans) for major economic sectors2. The latest round of the survey, which was conducted during Q2:2025-26, collected senior loan officers’ assessment of credit parameters for Q2:2025-26 and their expectations for Q3, Q4 of 2025-26 and Q1 of 2026-27. Highlights: A. Assessment for Q2:2025-26 -
Bankers assessed an improvement in loan demand across major sectors during Q2:2025-26 (Chart 1 and Table 1). -
Majority of the responding bankers indicated “no change” in loan terms and conditions (Table 2). B. Expectations for Q3:2025-26 -
Bankers remained optimistic about overall loan demand in Q3:2025-26, driven by higher loan demand expected from agriculture, mining & quarrying, manufacturing, infrastructure, and services sectors (Table 1). -
Overall, easy terms and conditions for loans are expected to prevail during the quarter (Table 2). C. Expectations for Q4:2025-26 and Q1:2026-27 | Table 1: Sector-wise Loan Demand - Net Response3 | | (per cent) | | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | | Q1:2025-26* | Q2:2025-26 | Q2:2025-26* | Q3:2025-26 | | All Sectors | 37.5 | 38.9 | 41.1 | 42.6 | | Agriculture | 30.0 | 39.7 | 36.7 | 44.8 | | Mining and Quarrying | 12.1 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 14.8 | | Manufacturing | 36.2 | 37.5 | 43.1 | 44.6 | | Infrastructure | 22.4 | 20.7 | 25.9 | 34.5 | | Services | 33.9 | 35.2 | 33.9 | 37.0 | | Retail/Personal | 27.8 | 37.5 | 42.6 | 39.3 | | * Based on the previous round’s response. | | Table 2: Sector-wise Loan Terms and Conditions - Net Response | | (per cent) | | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | | Q1:2025-26* | Q2:2025-26 | Q2:2025-26* | Q3:2025-26 | | All Sectors | 12.5 | 9.3 | 16.1 | 18.5 | | Agriculture | 11.7 | 15.5 | 15.0 | 19.0 | | Mining and Quarrying | -1.7 | 0.0 | -1.7 | 3.7 | | Manufacturing | 17.9 | 12.5 | 21.4 | 21.4 | | Infrastructure | 10.0 | 6.9 | 13.3 | 10.3 | | Services | 16.1 | 18.5 | 23.2 | 22.2 | | Retail/Personal | 22.9 | 18.5 | 22.0 | 22.2 | | * Based on the previous round’s response. | | Table 3: Sector-wise Expectations for Extended Period - Net Response | | (per cent) | | Sector | Loan Demand | Loan Terms and Conditions | | Q4:2025-26 | Q1:2026-27 | Q4:2025-26 | Q1:2026-27 | | All Sectors | 44.6 | 44.6 | 20.4 | 24.1 | | Agriculture | 45.0 | 41.7 | 17.2 | 19.0 | | Mining and Quarrying | 12.5 | 19.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | | Manufacturing | 39.7 | 43.1 | 26.8 | 26.8 | | Infrastructure | 35.0 | 38.3 | 19.0 | 17.2 | | Services | 42.9 | 46.4 | 18.5 | 18.5 | | Retail/Personal | 41.7 | 32.8 | 20.7 | 21.4 | Note: Please see the attached excel file for detailed time series data. |