Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of 37th round of its Bank Lending Survey (BLS)1, which captures qualitative assessment and expectations of major scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) on credit parameters (viz., loan demand as well as terms and conditions of loans) for major economic sectors2. The latest round of the survey, which was conducted during Q2:2026-27, collected senior loan officers’ assessment of credit parameters for Q2:2026-27 and their expectations for Q3 and Q4:2026-27 and Q1:2027-28. Highlights: A.Assessment for Q2:2026-27 -
Bankers reported improved optimism in credit demand across major sectors of the economy during Q2:2026-27 (Chart 1 and Table 1). -
Bankers indicated some easing in loan terms and conditions at the aggregate level (Table 2). B. Expectations for Q3:2026-27 -
Bankers’ expectations on loan demand improved across sectors (except for agriculture sector) in Q3:2026-27 majorly driven by seasonal demand. -
Overall loan terms and conditions are expected to remain unchanged during Q3:2026-27 over previous quarter (Table 1 and 2). C. Expectations for Q4:2026-27 and Q1:2027-28 | Table 1: Sector-wise Loan Demand - Net Response3 | | (per cent) | | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | | Q1:2026-27* | Q2:2026-27 | Q2:2026-27* | Q3:2026-27 | | All Sectors | 32.1 | 46.7 | 37.5 | 43.3 | | Agriculture | 28.3 | 41.7 | 35.0 | 30.0 | | Mining and Quarrying | 8.9 | 0.0 | 5.4 | 12.1 | | Manufacturing | 34.5 | 46.7 | 39.7 | 50.0 | | Infrastructure | 41.4 | 36.7 | 34.5 | 40.0 | | Services | 31.0 | 45.0 | 34.5 | 40.0 | | Retail/Personal | 19.6 | 41.7 | 41.1 | 43.3 | | * Based on the previous round’s response. | | Table 2: Sector-wise Loan Terms and Conditions - Net Response | | (per cent) | | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | | Q1:2026-27* | Q2:2026-27 | Q2:2026-27* | Q3:2026-27 | | All Sectors | 14.8 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.7 | | Agriculture | 15.5 | 11.7 | 17.2 | 13.3 | | Mining and Quarrying | -3.7 | 0.0 | -3.7 | 1.7 | | Manufacturing | 12.5 | 21.7 | 17.9 | 23.3 | | Infrastructure | 8.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 3.3 | | Services | 21.4 | 20.0 | 17.9 | 16.7 | | Retail/Personal | 21.2 | 19.6 | 19.2 | 22.4 | | * Based on the previous round’s response. | | Table 3: Sector-wise Expectations for Extended Period - Net Response | | (per cent) | | Sector | Loan Demand | Loan Terms and Conditions | | Q4:2026-27 | Q1:2027-28 | Q4:2026-27 | Q1:2027-28 | | All Sectors | 50.0 | 43.3 | 15.0 | 15.0 | | Agriculture | 36.7 | 25.0 | 11.7 | 11.7 | | Mining and Quarrying | 8.6 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | Manufacturing | 43.3 | 46.7 | 20.0 | 18.3 | | Infrastructure | 40.0 | 35.0 | 10.0 | 8.3 | | Services | 43.3 | 41.7 | 18.3 | 18.3 | | Retail/Personal | 40.0 | 30.0 | 16.7 | 16.7 | Note: Please see the attached excel file for detailed time series data.
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