Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of March 2026 round of its bi-monthly urban consumer confidence survey (UCCS)1. The survey collects current perceptions (vis-à-vis a year ago) and one year ahead expectations of households on general economic situation, employment scenario, overall price situation, own income and spending. The survey was conducted during February 25 to March 10, 2026, covering 6069 respondents across 19 major cities. Highlights: -
Consumer confidence for the current period deteriorated in the pessimistic zone with the Current Situation Index (CSI)2 at 95.7 vis-à-vis 98.1 in the previous round (Chart 1). -
Confidence for the year ahead, though optimistic, also saw a decline from the previous round. The Future Expectations Index (FEI) dropped by 3.2 points to 120.2 (Chart 1). -
Households’ current perception on economic situation ebbed for the second consecutive round, registering a decrease of 5.1 points from the previous round. The outlook also declined by 6.2 points, though remained in the optimistic zone (Table 1). -
The current perception and year-ahead expectation of households on employment situation have worsened by 2.8 and 7.8 points, respectively (Table 2). -
Households’ sentiments regarding price and inflation have deteriorated for both time horizons (Tables 3 and 4). Note: Please see the excel file for time series data3 | Table 1: Perceptions and Expectations on the General Economic Situation | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Improved | Remained Same | Worsened | Net Response | Will Improve | Will Remain Same | Will Worsen | Net Response | | Mar-25 | 34.7 | 24.7 | 40.6 | -5.9 | 56.6 | 14.9 | 28.5 | 28.0 | | May-25 | 35.7 | 22.4 | 41.9 | -6.2 | 57.9 | 13.4 | 28.7 | 29.2 | | Jul-25 | 34.2 | 27.5 | 38.3 | -4.2 | 55.7 | 20.9 | 23.4 | 32.3 | | Sep-25 | 37.0 | 22.1 | 40.9 | -3.9 | 57.9 | 16.8 | 25.3 | 32.6 | | Nov-25 | 37.2 | 23.1 | 39.7 | -2.5 | 58.5 | 15.8 | 25.7 | 32.9 | | Jan-26 | 36.8 | 23.0 | 40.2 | -3.5 | 56.6 | 16.2 | 27.2 | 29.3 | | Mar-26 | 34.5 | 22.5 | 43.0 | -8.6 | 53.8 | 15.6 | 30.7 | 23.1 | | Table 2: Perceptions and Expectations on Employment | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Improved | Remained Same | Worsened | Net Response | Will Improve | Will Remain Same | Will Worsen | Net Response | | Mar-25 | 35.5 | 23.0 | 41.5 | -6.1 | 56.4 | 16.5 | 27.1 | 29.3 | | May-25 | 36.2 | 21.8 | 42.1 | -5.9 | 56.9 | 16.1 | 27.0 | 29.8 | | Jul-25 | 32.6 | 28.2 | 39.2 | -6.7 | 53.6 | 23.8 | 22.6 | 31.0 | | Sep-25 | 35.3 | 23.2 | 41.5 | -6.2 | 56.6 | 18.3 | 25.1 | 31.5 | | Nov-25 | 35.5 | 22.7 | 41.8 | -6.3 | 57.1 | 17.4 | 25.5 | 31.6 | | Jan-26 | 35.8 | 22.1 | 42.1 | -6.3 | 58.2 | 16.7 | 25.2 | 33.0 | | Mar-26 | 34.3 | 22.3 | 43.4 | -9.1 | 54.1 | 16.9 | 29.0 | 25.2 | | Table 3: Perceptions and Expectations on Price Level | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Mar-25 | 91.0 | 7.8 | 1.3 | -89.7 | 82.2 | 9.4 | 8.4 | -73.8 | | May-25 | 90.9 | 6.6 | 2.5 | -88.5 | 82.5 | 8.1 | 9.4 | -73.1 | | Jul-25 | 90.3 | 6.4 | 3.3 | -87.0 | 81.6 | 9.3 | 9.1 | -72.4 | | Sep-25 | 89.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | -87.3 | 81.0 | 9.1 | 9.9 | -71.1 | | Nov-25 | 83.9 | 11.0 | 5.1 | -78.9 | 78.3 | 12.2 | 9.5 | -68.8 | | Jan-26 | 86.3 | 8.6 | 5.1 | -81.2 | 82.4 | 10.4 | 7.2 | -75.2 | | Mar-26 | 89.1 | 6.9 | 4.0 | -85.2 | 83.2 | 10.2 | 6.6 | -76.7 | | Table 4: Perceptions and Expectations on Rate of Change in Price Level (Inflation)* | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Mar-25 | 79.4 | 14.0 | 6.7 | -72.7 | 78.5 | 15.0 | 6.5 | -72.0 | | May-25 | 78.0 | 14.8 | 7.2 | -70.7 | 78.1 | 14.7 | 7.2 | -70.8 | | Jul-25 | 78.7 | 12.5 | 8.7 | -70.0 | 79.7 | 10.9 | 9.4 | -70.3 | | Sep-25 | 77.8 | 14.7 | 7.6 | -70.2 | 78.0 | 13.0 | 9.1 | -68.9 | | Nov-25 | 76.9 | 14.4 | 8.7 | -68.2 | 75.9 | 16.2 | 7.8 | -68.1 | | Jan-26 | 77.6 | 15.6 | 6.8 | -70.9 | 77.6 | 16.6 | 5.9 | -71.7 | | Mar-26 | 78.0 | 16.1 | 5.9 | -72.2 | 79.6 | 15.5 | 4.9 | -74.8 | | *Applicable only for those respondents who felt price has increased/price will increase. | | Table 5: Perceptions and Expectations on Income | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Mar-25 | 23.8 | 53.0 | 23.3 | 0.5 | 57.5 | 36.0 | 6.5 | 51.0 | | May-25 | 24.1 | 52.2 | 23.7 | 0.4 | 58.0 | 36.3 | 5.7 | 52.3 | | Jul-25 | 22.7 | 56.7 | 20.6 | 2.1 | 57.0 | 38.6 | 4.4 | 52.6 | | Sep-25 | 27.0 | 49.2 | 23.8 | 3.2 | 59.0 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 53.0 | | Nov-25 | 26.0 | 51.5 | 22.5 | 3.5 | 59.1 | 34.8 | 6.0 | 53.1 | | Jan-26 | 26.3 | 50.7 | 23.0 | 3.3 | 57.0 | 36.1 | 6.9 | 50.1 | | Mar-26 | 25.1 | 52.8 | 22.1 | 3.0 | 55.6 | 37.1 | 7.2 | 48.4 | | Table 6: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Mar-25 | 80.1 | 18.8 | 1.2 | 78.9 | 79.6 | 18.0 | 2.4 | 77.2 | | May-25 | 78.7 | 19.9 | 1.4 | 77.3 | 81.1 | 16.4 | 2.5 | 78.6 | | Jul-25 | 80.2 | 17.7 | 2.2 | 78.0 | 81.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 | | Sep-25 | 81.4 | 15.7 | 2.9 | 78.5 | 82.1 | 15.0 | 2.9 | 79.1 | | Nov-25 | 78.7 | 18.6 | 2.6 | 76.1 | 82.2 | 15.1 | 2.8 | 79.3 | | Jan-26 | 79.7 | 18.6 | 1.7 | 78.0 | 82.3 | 15.4 | 2.3 | 80.0 | | Mar-26 | 80.2 | 18.1 | 1.8 | 78.4 | 82.8 | 15.7 | 1.6 | 81.2 | | Table 7: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending- Essential Items | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Mar-25 | 87.4 | 12.0 | 0.6 | 86.9 | 86.2 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 84.4 | | May-25 | 87.5 | 11.0 | 1.4 | 86.1 | 86.9 | 11.3 | 1.8 | 85.1 | | Jul-25 | 87.5 | 11.5 | 1.0 | 86.5 | 87.1 | 12.0 | 0.9 | 86.2 | | Sep-25 | 88.6 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 86.7 | 87.3 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 85.6 | | Nov-25 | 85.2 | 13.1 | 1.7 | 83.5 | 85.5 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 83.0 | | Jan-26 | 86.6 | 12.2 | 1.2 | 85.4 | 86.2 | 11.4 | 2.4 | 83.8 | | Mar-26 | 86.9 | 11.8 | 1.3 | 85.7 | 86.8 | 11.5 | 1.7 | 85.0 | | Table 8: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending- Non-Essential Items | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Mar-25 | 28.5 | 40.9 | 30.7 | -2.2 | 37.7 | 37.7 | 24.6 | 13.1 | | May-25 | 27.8 | 41.1 | 31.2 | -3.4 | 38.2 | 37.3 | 24.5 | 13.8 | | Jul-25 | 37.6 | 25.1 | 37.3 | 0.4 | 43.6 | 27.7 | 28.7 | 15.0 | | Sep-25 | 35.5 | 30.4 | 34.1 | 1.4 | 39.8 | 35.8 | 24.5 | 15.3 | | Nov-25 | 30.4 | 40.2 | 29.4 | 1.0 | 40.8 | 36.9 | 22.3 | 18.5 | | Jan-26 | 30.7 | 39.2 | 30.0 | 0.7 | 40.4 | 36.6 | 23.0 | 17.4 | | Mar-26 | 29.8 | 41.2 | 29.0 | 0.8 | 42.4 | 36.3 | 21.3 | 21.1 |
|