Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of January 2026 round of its bi-monthly urban consumer confidence survey (UCCS)1. The survey collects current perceptions (vis-à-vis a year ago) and one year ahead expectations of households on general economic situation, employment scenario, overall price situation, own income and spending. The latest round of the survey was conducted during January 2-11, 2026, covering 5,933 respondents across 19 major cities. Highlights: -
Consumer confidence for the current period changed marginally - the Current Situation Index (CSI)2 stood at 98.1 vis-à-vis 98.4 in the previous round (Chart 1). -
Consumer confidence for the year ahead ticked downward, owing mainly to lower expectations on general economic conditions, income and price level compared to the previous round. Thus, the Future Expectations Index (FEI), though in the optimistic zone, dropped by 2.2 points to 123.4 (Chart 1; Tables 1, 3 and 5). -
After showing improvement for three consecutive rounds, households’ current perception on economic situation worsened. The future outlook also declined by 3.6 points, however remained in the optimistic zone (Table 1). -
Households’ sentiments on current earning remained stable. However, their year-ahead expectations moderated (Table 5). -
Household’s’ sentiments on price and inflation deteriorated for both the time horizons (Tables 3 and 4). Note: Please see the excel file for time series data3
| Table 1: Perceptions and Expectations on the General Economic Situation | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Improved | Remained Same | Worsened | Net Response | Will Improve | Will Remain Same | Will Worsen | Net Response | | Jan-25 | 34.9 | 22.1 | 43.0 | -8.0 | 55.2 | 15.8 | 29.0 | 26.2 | | Mar-25 | 34.7 | 24.7 | 40.6 | -5.9 | 56.6 | 14.9 | 28.5 | 28.0 | | May-25 | 35.7 | 22.4 | 41.9 | -6.2 | 57.9 | 13.4 | 28.7 | 29.2 | | Jul-25 | 34.2 | 27.5 | 38.3 | -4.2 | 55.7 | 20.9 | 23.4 | 32.3 | | Sep-25 | 37.0 | 22.1 | 40.9 | -3.9 | 57.9 | 16.8 | 25.3 | 32.6 | | Nov-25 | 37.2 | 23.1 | 39.7 | -2.5 | 58.5 | 15.8 | 25.7 | 32.9 | | Jan-26 | 36.8 | 23.0 | 40.2 | -3.5 | 56.6 | 16.2 | 27.2 | 29.3 | | Table 2: Perceptions and Expectations on Employment | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Improved | Remained Same | Worsened | Net Response | Will Improve | Will Remain Same | Will Worsen | Net Response | | Jan-25 | 34.5 | 22.7 | 42.7 | -8.2 | 54.7 | 18.3 | 27.0 | 27.6 | | Mar-25 | 35.5 | 23.0 | 41.5 | -6.1 | 56.4 | 16.5 | 27.1 | 29.3 | | May-25 | 36.2 | 21.8 | 42.1 | -5.9 | 56.9 | 16.1 | 27.0 | 29.8 | | Jul-25 | 32.6 | 28.2 | 39.2 | -6.7 | 53.6 | 23.8 | 22.6 | 31.0 | | Sep-25 | 35.3 | 23.2 | 41.5 | -6.2 | 56.6 | 18.3 | 25.1 | 31.5 | | Nov-25 | 35.5 | 22.7 | 41.8 | -6.3 | 57.1 | 17.4 | 25.5 | 31.6 | | Jan-26 | 35.8 | 22.1 | 42.1 | -6.3 | 58.2 | 16.7 | 25.2 | 33.0 | | Table 3: Perceptions and Expectations on Price Level | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Jan-25 | 93.0 | 6.1 | 0.9 | -92.0 | 83.0 | 9.2 | 7.9 | -75.1 | | Mar-25 | 91.0 | 7.8 | 1.3 | -89.7 | 82.2 | 9.4 | 8.4 | -73.8 | | May-25 | 90.9 | 6.6 | 2.5 | -88.5 | 82.5 | 8.1 | 9.4 | -73.1 | | Jul-25 | 90.3 | 6.4 | 3.3 | -87.0 | 81.6 | 9.3 | 9.1 | -72.4 | | Sep-25 | 89.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | -87.3 | 81.0 | 9.1 | 9.9 | -71.1 | | Nov-25 | 83.9 | 11.0 | 5.1 | -78.9 | 78.3 | 12.2 | 9.5 | -68.8 | | Jan-26 | 86.3 | 8.6 | 5.1 | -81.2 | 82.4 | 10.4 | 7.2 | -75.2 | | Table 4: Perceptions and Expectations on Rate of Change in Price Level (Inflation)* | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Jan-25 | 80.7 | 12.9 | 6.5 | -74.2 | 79.9 | 14.5 | 5.7 | -74.2 | | Mar-25 | 79.4 | 14.0 | 6.7 | -72.7 | 78.5 | 15.0 | 6.5 | -72.0 | | May-25 | 78.0 | 14.8 | 7.2 | -70.7 | 78.1 | 14.7 | 7.2 | -70.8 | | Jul-25 | 78.7 | 12.5 | 8.7 | -70.0 | 79.7 | 10.9 | 9.4 | -70.3 | | Sep-25 | 77.8 | 14.7 | 7.6 | -70.2 | 78.0 | 13.0 | 9.1 | -68.9 | | Nov-25 | 76.9 | 14.4 | 8.7 | -68.2 | 75.9 | 16.2 | 7.8 | -68.1 | | Jan-26 | 77.6 | 15.6 | 6.8 | -70.9 | 77.6 | 16.6 | 5.9 | -71.7 | | *Applicable only for those respondents who felt price has increased/price will increase. | | Table 5: Perceptions and Expectations on Income | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Jan-25 | 22.0 | 55.0 | 23.0 | -1.0 | 55.9 | 37.4 | 6.8 | 49.1 | | Mar-25 | 23.8 | 53.0 | 23.3 | 0.5 | 57.5 | 36.0 | 6.5 | 51.0 | | May-25 | 24.1 | 52.2 | 23.7 | 0.4 | 58.0 | 36.3 | 5.7 | 52.3 | | Jul-25 | 22.7 | 56.7 | 20.6 | 2.1 | 57.0 | 38.6 | 4.4 | 52.6 | | Sep-25 | 27.0 | 49.2 | 23.8 | 3.2 | 59.0 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 53.0 | | Nov-25 | 26.0 | 51.5 | 22.5 | 3.5 | 59.1 | 34.8 | 6.0 | 53.1 | | Jan-26 | 26.3 | 50.7 | 23.0 | 3.3 | 57.0 | 36.1 | 6.9 | 50.1 | | Table 6: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Jan-25 | 79.3 | 19.4 | 1.3 | 77.9 | 78.8 | 18.3 | 2.9 | 75.9 | | Mar-25 | 80.1 | 18.8 | 1.2 | 78.9 | 79.6 | 18.0 | 2.4 | 77.2 | | May-25 | 78.7 | 19.9 | 1.4 | 77.3 | 81.1 | 16.4 | 2.5 | 78.6 | | Jul-25 | 80.2 | 17.7 | 2.2 | 78.0 | 81.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 | | Sep-25 | 81.4 | 15.7 | 2.9 | 78.5 | 82.1 | 15.0 | 2.9 | 79.1 | | Nov-25 | 78.7 | 18.6 | 2.6 | 76.1 | 82.2 | 15.1 | 2.8 | 79.3 | | Jan-26 | 79.7 | 18.6 | 1.7 | 78.0 | 82.3 | 15.4 | 2.3 | 80.0 | | Table 7: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending- Essential Items | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Jan-25 | 87.6 | 10.9 | 1.6 | 86.0 | 85.1 | 12.3 | 2.6 | 82.5 | | Mar-25 | 87.4 | 12.0 | 0.6 | 86.9 | 86.2 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 84.4 | | May-25 | 87.5 | 11.0 | 1.4 | 86.1 | 86.9 | 11.3 | 1.8 | 85.1 | | Jul-25 | 87.5 | 11.5 | 1.0 | 86.5 | 87.1 | 12.0 | 0.9 | 86.2 | | Sep-25 | 88.6 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 86.7 | 87.3 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 85.6 | | Nov-25 | 85.2 | 13.1 | 1.7 | 83.5 | 85.5 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 83.0 | | Jan-26 | 86.6 | 12.2 | 1.2 | 85.4 | 86.2 | 11.4 | 2.4 | 83.8 | | Table 8: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending- Non-Essential Items | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Jan-25 | 29.2 | 38.5 | 32.3 | -3.1 | 37.4 | 36.1 | 26.5 | 11.0 | | Mar-25 | 28.5 | 40.9 | 30.7 | -2.2 | 37.7 | 37.7 | 24.6 | 13.1 | | May-25 | 27.8 | 41.1 | 31.2 | -3.4 | 38.2 | 37.3 | 24.5 | 13.8 | | Jul-25 | 37.6 | 25.1 | 37.3 | 0.4 | 43.6 | 27.7 | 28.7 | 15.0 | | Sep-25 | 35.5 | 30.4 | 34.1 | 1.4 | 39.8 | 35.8 | 24.5 | 15.3 | | Nov-25 | 30.4 | 40.2 | 29.4 | 1.0 | 40.8 | 36.9 | 22.3 | 18.5 | | Jan-26 | 30.7 | 39.2 | 30.0 | 0.7 | 40.4 | 36.6 | 23.0 | 17.4 | |